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MLB Friday Betting Picks and Parlay - July 29, 2022

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Written by Jason Bevilacqua
MLB Friday Betting Picks and Parlay - July 29, 2022

Friday's MLB slate is a good one and we're giving you our best bets of the day. 

It's July 29, 2022, and, as always, we've simulated all of the day's MLB games 10,000 times each to determine where the value lies for basketball bettors across the United States.

With MLB betting picks, probabilities, odds and predicted scores featured each and every day, check out our top plays for Friday's MLB games.

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Free MLB Picks for Friday July 29, 2022

Mets vs. Marlins, 6:40PM ET

The Sandy Alcantara factor can be blamed for the total for this game being set to a tiny 6.5 runs - the equal lowest total we've seen this year, but is it worth taking it on? The Marlins ace has given up 2 ER in each of his last two starts. The Mets don't strikeout a whole lot and have a deep batting lineup that may be able to stretch out the innings and get into that Miami bullpen early. On the other side, Chris Bassitt (7-7, 3.72 ERA) can leak runs with regularity, only shutting out the opposition once in his last ten starts. The over looks ripe.

BET: Total runs OVER 6.5 (-118)

⚾️ Mets vs. Marlins Friday simulator
πŸ“ˆ Betting preview: Mets vs. Marlins Friday


Phillies vs. Pirates, 7:05PM ET

The Phillies were dominant in last night's series opener in Pittsburgh before some late-inning heroics from the Pirates in the 9th made things interesting. Tonight, more runs are on the menu with two lefties heading to the mound in JosΓ© Quintana (3-5, 3.70 ERA) and Bailey Falter (0-3, 5.18 ERA). Philly have been averaging almost 5 runs per game against left-handed pitching in their last 10 games and should batter this Pirates defense.

BET: Total runs OVER 8 (-115)

⚾️ Phillies vs. Pirates Friday simulator
πŸ“ˆ Betting preview: Phillies vs. Pirates Friday


 

Twins vs. Padres, 9:40PM ET

Blake Snell (2-5, 4.74 ERA) had his best start of the season last time out against the Mets, keeping them scoreless through 5 innings. That's the kind of form the former Cy Young winner is capable of and he finds himself with a great opportunity to keep the momentum rolling against a Twins team who are on a 2-game slide after a midweek jaunt in Milwaukee. The home team has the edge here.

BET: Padres moneyline (-120)

⚾️ Twins vs. Padres Friday simulator
πŸ“ˆ Betting preview: Twins vs. Padres Friday

Your game not here? Find out who we're betting on for every baseball game on Friday via our MLB Bet Hub, where we deliver you MLB predictions and suggested bets, or check out the MLB Betting News section.


MLB Parlay for Friday July 29, 2022

πŸ”₯ Mets/Marlins o6.5 runs
πŸ”₯ Phillies/Pirates o8 runs
πŸ”₯ Padres ML

πŸ’° Parlay Odds: +533

*All odds and lines correct at time of publishing


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Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.

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