MLB Betting Strategy: How to Bet DraftKings Early Win Promo

MLB Betting Strategy: How to Bet DraftKings Early Win Promo

If you’ve been betting on MLB this season using DraftKings then you’ve likely come across their “MLB Early Win” promotion.

This is one of the best promos in all of sportsbetting and the reason is simple – you don’t even need to win the bet to cash in.

So how does that work? The terms of the Early Win promo are as follows – bet a pre-game Moneyline bet on any team and if that team leads by 2 runs at any point in the game, you win the bet, no matter what the final result is.

Yes, that means you can win on a losing bet, which is what makes this promo so elite. If you haven’t been using this one, be sure to start before it’s gone, and if you don’t even have DraftKings, one of our Best Sportsbooks, you should head here to change that.

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Early Win Strategy

The main factors to consider with this promo are opportunity, value and probability.

Probability is simple – Dimers offers win probabilities for every single team in every single game. Using our MLB Game Predictions is a great place to start, as you can see the likelihood of each team winning their matchup, as predicted by our model. You can take a shot on underdogs with low probabilities, but it makes the most sense to look for teams at plus-money with a strong chance to win, often at least 40%. This way, you’re betting on the best odds for two teams that are relatively evenly-matched.

Value is equally as important, as we’re looking to make the most profit as possible with this promo, and that’s difficult to do if you’re betting on teams at bad odds. Targeting plus-money teams with an edge is the best way to approach this promo and you can use Dimers Pro’s Best MLB Betsto find the edge in every game, every day. Underdogs present the most value because they have plus money odds and as the selected team doesn’t actually have to win, it takes the sweat out of them coughing up an early lead.

Opportunity is our third main factor and this one takes a bit of common sense and a bit of extra research if you really want to dive in. In baseball, one team must come up first and that presents us with a clear opportunity. If you’re up first, you have the first chances to score, meaning teams on the road are very strong targets. Additionally, looking for teams that are matched up against pitchers with low strikeout rates or higher ERAs present additional opportunity.


Dimers' Best Early Win Targets - Saturday, May 25

Now by using all three of these factors, we can quickly identify which teams offer the best opportunities today. Below you'll find our top picks that meet at least two of the categories, which the ones that meet all three being the best options!

Team
Win %
DraftKings Odds
Home/Away
Reds
48%
+130
Home
Angels
47%
+120
Home
Athletics
47%
+124
Home
Pirates
45%
+136
Home
Yankees
45%
+102
Away
Giants
44%
+124
Away
Brewers
43%
+124
Away
Rangers
43%
+120
Away

Responsible Gambling

Remember to please gamble responsibly. If you sense that you're taking your luck too far, know when to call it quits and don't be afraid to seek assistance. Keep in mind that gambling is all about having a fantastic experience! If you or someone you know is grappling with gambling issues, reach out to 1-800-GAMBLER for crisis counseling and support.

Dave Garofolo
Content Producer

Dave Garofolo, a seasoned fantasy sports and betting enthusiast with a special affection for MLB and NFL, uses his deep knowledge to craft game previews for the NBA, MLB, and NFL. He also brings his expertise to the golf world with tournament previews and parlays for the PGA TOUR and major golf tournaments. Additionally, Dave offers valuable props for NBA, MLB, NHL, and NCAAM basketball, along with best bets for MLB, NHL, and NCAAM. 

When not delving into the world of sports, Dave is an avid advocate for New Haven pizza, enjoys reading comic books, gardening, and spending time with his cats. His broad interests and detailed sports insights ensure that his contributions are both engaging and informative.

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