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Bucks vs. Pacers prediction: Why Milwaukee is favored to win Tuesday's NBA matchup [12/23/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Milwaukee Bucks vs Indiana Pacers predictions for NBA Tuesday.
The Indiana Pacers will take on the Milwaukee Bucks, in what is expected to be a tight NBA game, at Gainbridge Fieldhouse on Tuesday, beginning at 7:30 PM ET.
Based on updated simulation results and today’s injury updates, Dimers' advanced NBA model gives the Bucks a slight edge with a 53% win probability over the Pacers.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Pacers lineup will feature players like Pascal Siakam, Bennedict Mathurin and Andrew Nembhard, while the Bucks will look to Kevin Porter, Bobby Portis and Ryan Rollins.
This article offers further insights into Tuesday's Bucks vs. Pacers matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Bucks vs. Pacers prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Tuesday's NBA game between the Bucks and Pacers 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model gives the Bucks a 53% chance of defeating the Pacers. Our predicted final score has the Bucks winning 109-108.
According to our model, the Bucks (-1.5) have a 53% chance of covering the spread, while the 216.5-point over/under has a 51% chance of going over.
Bucks vs. Pacers odds
We have researched the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Bucks | Pacers |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -1.5 (-105) | +1.5 (-112) |
| Moneyline | -110 | +104 |
| Total | o216.5 (-115) | u216.5 (-105) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Bucks vs. Pacers picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Bucks -1.5 | -105 |
| Moneyline | Bucks | -110 |
| Total | Under 216.5 | -105 |
According to our best NBA bets for Tuesday, the top play to make on this game is Bucks -1.5 at the spread.
Bucks vs. Pacers player props
Looking for Milwaukee vs. Indiana NBA prop bets? We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Gainbridge Fieldhouse.
Kevin Porter is expected to lead the Bucks with 20 points, 6 rebounds and 7 assists, while Pascal Siakam is projected to have 23 points, 6 rebounds and 4 assists for the Pacers.
Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.
Bucks prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Bucks are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Porter | 20 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 45 |
| Bobby Portis | 17 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 35 |
| Ryan Rollins | 15 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 31 |
| Kyle Kuzma | 15 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 29 |
| Myles Turner | 13 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 28 |
Pacers prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Pacers:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pascal Siakam | 23 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 42 |
| B. Mathurin | 20 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 36 |
| Andrew Nembhard | 16 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 34 |
| Jay Huff | 11 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 26 |
| T.J. McConnell | 9 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 23 |
Bucks vs. Pacers game-day updates and essential details
Tuesday's matchup between the Pacers and Bucks at Gainbridge Fieldhouse is scheduled to commence at 7:30 PM ET.
- Who: Milwaukee Bucks vs. Indiana Pacers
- Date: Tuesday, December 23, 2025
- Time: 7:30 PM ET/4:30PM PT
- Venue: Gainbridge Fieldhouse
Conclusion
We predict the Bucks, with a 53% win probability, will likely beat the Pacers on Tuesday, with Kevin Porter projected for a game-high 45 fantasy points.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Bucks vs. Pacers insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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