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Bucks vs. Pacers prediction: Why Milwaukee is favored to win Tuesday's NBA matchup [12/23/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Milwaukee Bucks vs Indiana Pacers predictions for NBA Tuesday.
The Indiana Pacers will take on the Milwaukee Bucks in NBA action at Gainbridge Fieldhouse on Tuesday, starting at 7:30 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulation results and today’s injury updates, Dimers' proven NBA model predicts the Bucks as the most likely winner of the Bucks vs. Pacers game.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Pacers lineup will feature stars like Pascal Siakam, Bennedict Mathurin and Andrew Nembhard, while the Bucks will look to Kevin Porter, Bobby Portis and Ryan Rollins.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Tuesday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Bucks vs. Pacers prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Tuesday's NBA matchup between the Bucks and Pacers 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model gives the Bucks a 56% chance of defeating the Pacers. Our predicted final score has the Bucks winning 109-108.
According to our model, the bookmakers have got it right, and the Bucks and Pacers each have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 218.5 points also has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
Bucks vs. Pacers odds
We have sourced the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Bucks | Pacers |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -1.5 (-110) | +1.5 (-110) |
| Moneyline | -120 | +104 |
| Total | o218.5 (-110) | u218.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Bucks vs. Pacers picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Bucks -1.5 | -110 |
| Moneyline | Bucks | -120 |
| Total | Under 218.5 | -110 |
According to our NBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Bucks to win.
Bucks vs. Pacers player props
Looking for Bucks vs. Pacers NBA prop bets? We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Gainbridge Fieldhouse.
Kevin Porter is expected to lead the Bucks with 20 points, 6 rebounds and 7 assists, while Pascal Siakam is projected to have 23 points, 6 rebounds and 4 assists for the Pacers.
Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.
Bucks prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Bucks are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Porter | 20 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 46 |
| Bobby Portis | 17 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 35 |
| Ryan Rollins | 15 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 31 |
| Kyle Kuzma | 15 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 29 |
| Myles Turner | 13 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 28 |
Pacers prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Pacers:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pascal Siakam | 23 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 42 |
| B. Mathurin | 20 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 35 |
| Andrew Nembhard | 15 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 33 |
| Jay Huff | 11 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 25 |
| T.J. McConnell | 9 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 24 |
Bucks vs. Pacers game-day updates and essential details
Tuesday's matchup between the Pacers and Bucks at Gainbridge Fieldhouse is scheduled to begin at 7:30 PM ET.
- Who: Milwaukee Bucks vs. Indiana Pacers
- Date: Tuesday, December 23, 2025
- Time: 7:30 PM ET/4:30PM PT
- Venue: Gainbridge Fieldhouse
Conclusion
We predict the Bucks, with a 56% win probability, will likely beat the Pacers on Tuesday, with Kevin Porter projected for a game-high 46 fantasy points.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Bucks vs. Pacers insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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