Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals: Model Strongly Predicts Nationals to Cover the Run Line After New Data Released for Sunday's MLB Game [6/16/2024]

Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals: Model Strongly Predicts Nationals to Cover the Run Line After New Data Released for Sunday's MLB Game [6/16/2024]

The Washington Nationals will square off with the Miami Marlins in MLB action at Nationals Park on Sunday, beginning at 1:35PM ET.

The Nationals will send Mitchell Parker (4-3, 3.21 ERA) to the mound, up against Jesús Luzardo (3-5, 5.11 ERA) for the Marlins.

Based on updated simulation results,’s predictive MLB model (see Dimers Pro for full access) has selected the Washington Nationals as the most likely winner of the game.

“With the most current data, we simulated the Marlins-Nationals game 10,000 times for Sunday,” said data analyst Greg Butyn. “After incorporating all the most recent updates, plus thousands of additional inputs, we predict the Nationals to have a 53% chance of winning, compared to the Marlins at 47%.”

Marlins vs. Nationals Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

Sunday's MLB game between the Nationals and Marlins at Nationals Park is scheduled to begin at 1:35PM ET.'s in-depth preview of Sunday's Marlins vs. Nationals matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any the Nationals vs. Marlins picks, be sure to check out the latest MLB predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Marlins vs. Nationals Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Run Line

We have used advanced machine learning and statistics to simulate the result of Sunday's MLB matchup between the Marlins and Nationals 10,000 times, in line with our coverage of MLB picks.

Our independent predictive analytics model currently gives the Nationals a 53% chance of beating the Marlins.

According to our model, the Nationals (+1.5) have a 67% chance of covering the run line, while the 8.5-run over/under has a 52% chance of going under.


Marlins vs. Nationals Odds [6/16/2024]

We have researched the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Marlins Nationals
Run Line -1.5 (+168) +1.5 (-205)
Moneyline +105 -120
Total o8.5 (-104) u8.5 (-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Marlins vs. Nationals Picks

The strongest edge our model has found in this Marlins vs. Nationals matchup is on the run line. Our expert predictions, matched against the current odds, reveal MLB best bets in each major market, every day of the season.

Full access to our picks is available via Dimers Pro.

Plus, gain access to all of today's bets, expert analysis, real-time updates, and exclusive insights, including unlimited best bets, props, trends, and customizable parlays.

Calling Our Shot: Free ⚾️ Picks

Calling Our Shot produces daily MLB betting content, including the latest best bets featured below.


We predict the Nationals, with a 53% win probability, will likely beat the Marlins on Sunday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Marlins vs. Nationals insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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Dave Garofolo
Content Producer

Dave Garofolo, a seasoned fantasy sports and betting enthusiast with a special affection for MLB and NFL, uses his deep knowledge to craft game previews for the NBA, MLB, and NFL. He also brings his expertise to the golf world with tournament previews and parlays for the PGA TOUR and major golf tournaments. Additionally, Dave offers valuable props for NBA, MLB, NHL, and NCAAM basketball, along with best bets for MLB, NHL, and NCAAM. 

When not delving into the world of sports, Dave is an avid advocate for New Haven pizza, enjoys reading comic books, gardening, and spending time with his cats. His broad interests and detailed sports insights ensure that his contributions are both engaging and informative.

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