Memphis Grizzlies vs. Denver Nuggets Prediction, Odds, NBA Picks [12/28/2023]

Memphis Grizzlies vs. Denver Nuggets Prediction, Odds, NBA Picks  [12/28/2023]

The Denver Nuggets and Memphis Grizzlies will meet in NBA action at Ball Arena on Thursday, starting at 9:00PM ET.'s comprehensive betting preview for Thursday's Grizzlies vs. Nuggets matchup includes the latest betting odds, as well as our predictions and picks for the game.

Grizzlies vs. Nuggets Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Spread

We have used advanced machine learning and statistical analysis to simulate the result of Thursday's NBA game between the Grizzlies and Nuggets 10,000 times, in line with our coverage of NBA predictions.

Our independent predictive analytics model gives the Nuggets a 77% chance of defeating the Grizzlies, and our predicted final score has the Nuggets winning 115-106.

According to our model, the Grizzlies (+9) have a 53% chance of covering the spread, while the Over/Under total of 222.5 points has a 51% chance of going under.

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Grizzlies vs. Nuggets Odds

We have researched the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Grizzlies Nuggets
Spread +9 (-108) -9 (-112)
Moneyline +333 -400
Total o222.5 (-110) u222.5 (-108)
  • The Nuggets are listed as -9 favorites against the Grizzlies, with -112 at DraftKings Sportsbook the best odds currently available.
  • For the underdog Grizzlies (+9) to cover the spread, DraftKings also has the best odds currently on offer at -108.
  • FanDuel Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Nuggets at -400, which means you can risk $400 to win $100 for a total payout of $500 if they get the W.
  • Elsewhere, BetMGM Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Grizzlies at +333, where you can bet $100 to profit $333, earning a total payout of $433 if they win.
  • The Over/Under for total points scored is set at 222.5 with BetMGM, which currently has the best odds for the Over at -110, while DraftKings currently has the best odds for the Under at -108.

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

As always, make sure you check the sports betting sites you can bet with in your state for the best NBA odds and lines.

Grizzlies vs. Nuggets Picks

By comparing our predictions to the odds listed above, we have identified the best betting picks for this game:

Bet Type Our Pick Best Odds
Spread Grizzlies +9 -108
Moneyline Grizzlies +333
Total Under 222.5 -108


While the Nuggets are more likely to win the game, betting on the Grizzlies moneyline is the best option because of the 1.2% edge found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the sportsbooks' odds currently available.

Taking advantage of the edges seen on Dimers is pivotal to being a profitable bettor in the long run.

Our best NBA bets are based on world-class modeling and wagering expertise to bring you the best possible plays every day of the year.

Grizzlies vs. Nuggets Player Props

Looking for Memphis vs. Denver NBA player props? We uss the best information available to project key individual stats for each team, such as points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers.

Desmond Bane is expected to step up for the Grizzlies with 25 points, 5 rebounds and 6 assists, while Nikola Jokic is projected to have 29 points, 14 rebounds and 8 assists for the Nuggets.

Grizzlies Prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Grizzlies:

Desmond Bane 25 5 6 3
Jaren Jackson 23 7 2 1
Xavier Tillman 12 7 3 0
Marcus Smart 10 2 4 2
Bismack Biyombo 9 9 2 0

Nuggets Prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers for the Nuggets:

Nikola Jokic 29 14 8 1
Jamal Murray 22 5 6 4
Michael Porter 18 9 2 4
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope 10 2 3 1
Peyton Watson 9 4 2 1

For more help with your NBA prop betting, check out the best NBA betting trends for today's games.

Don't forget, our model updates regularly, so check this article for any changes to our betting insights ahead of the Grizzlies vs. Nuggets on Thursday December 28, 2023.

Grizzlies vs. Nuggets Game Information

Thursday's game between the Nuggets and Grizzlies at Ball Arena is scheduled to start at 9:00PM ET.


Our full betting coverage of Grizzlies vs. Nuggets includes pregame predictions, betting picks, and live win probabilities.

How to Bet on Grizzlies vs. Nuggets

Want to join an online sportsbook and start betting on the NBA? We've listed the best available NBA promo offers in each and every legal betting state.

Calling Our Shot 🏀 Best Bets Video

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This preview article has been partially generated using automated processes and AI technology. Our goal is to provide timely and accurate updates on Thursday's Grizzlies vs. Nuggets matchup, and automation assists in data collection, analysis, and formatting. Human editing and quality control are performed to ensure the content meets our editorial guidelines.

Dimers' predictions are made thanks to 10,000 simulations per game, using reliable and up-to-date data sources and analytical methods. While these Grizzlies vs. Nuggets picks can help you make informed decisions, it's vital that you gamble responsibly and manage your bankroll effectively.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial arrangement with (such as a sportsbook), we may get a referral fee at no additional cost to you.

More on NBA

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Kevin Hansen
Senior Sports Analyst

Kevin Hansen has a track record of delivering high-quality content. He writes about all sports, but his favorites are the NFL, NBA, MLB, and NHL. Kevin enjoys crunching the numbers and using data-driven insights to take on the sportsbooks. The majority of Kevin's time is spent writing about sports betting. His love for data and analytics drove him into the world of sports betting. Finding an edge in sports betting can take a long time, but Kevin believes it is well worth the effort. Kevin is just as passionate about sports as you are, and he empowers fellow bettors to become more educated through simple, actionable betting tips. It can be difficult to navigate the world of sports betting, which is where Kevin comes in to make it as simple as possible for you to pick a winner.

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