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Grizzlies vs. Hawks prediction: Why Atlanta is favored to win Monday's NBA game [3/23/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get Memphis Grizzlies vs Atlanta Hawks predictions for NBA Monday.
The Atlanta Hawks will take on the Memphis Grizzlies in NBA action at State Farm Arena on Monday, beginning at 7:30 PM ET.
Based on updated simulations and today’s injury reports, Dimers' advanced NBA model predicts the Hawks as the most likely winner of the Grizzlies vs. Hawks game.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Hawks lineup will feature players like Jalen Johnson, Nickeil Alexander-Walker and CJ McCollum, while the Grizzlies will look to Ty Jerome, GG Jackson and Jaylen Wells.
This article offers a closer look at Monday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Grizzlies vs. Hawks prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Monday's NBA game between the Grizzlies and Hawks 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model gives the Hawks an 85% chance of defeating the Grizzlies. Our predicted final score has the Hawks winning 125-113.
According to our model, the Grizzlies (+14) have a 57% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 240.5 points has a 55% chance of staying under.
Grizzlies vs. Hawks odds
We have sourced the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Grizzlies | Hawks |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +14 (-106) | -14 (-114) |
| Moneyline | +650 | -900 |
| Total | o240.5 (-110) | u240.5 (-108) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Grizzlies vs. Hawks picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Grizzlies +14 | -106 |
| Moneyline | Grizzlies | +650 |
| Total | Under 240.5 | -108 |
According to our best NBA bets for Monday, the top play to make on this game is Grizzlies +14 at the spread.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Grizzlies vs. Hawks player props
Betting on Grizzlies vs. Hawks NBA prop bets? We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at State Farm Arena.
Ty Jerome is expected to lead the Grizzlies with 19 points, 3 rebounds and 5 assists, while Jalen Johnson is projected to have 25 points, 11 rebounds and 9 assists for the Hawks.
Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.
Grizzlies prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Grizzlies are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ty Jerome | 19 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 36 |
| GG Jackson | 15 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 29 |
| Jaylen Wells | 14 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 24 |
| Javon Small | 12 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 31 |
| O. Prosper | 12 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 25 |
Hawks prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Hawks:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Johnson | 25 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 58 |
| N. Alexander-Walker | 20 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 37 |
| CJ McCollum | 19 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 35 |
| Onyeka Okongwu | 15 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 36 |
| Dyson Daniels | 13 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 36 |
Grizzlies vs. Hawks game-day updates and essential details
Monday's game between the Hawks and Grizzlies at State Farm Arena is scheduled to commence at 7:30 PM ET.
- Who: Memphis Grizzlies vs. Atlanta Hawks
- Date: Monday, March 23, 2026
- Time: 7:30 PM ET/4:30PM PT
- Venue: State Farm Arena
Conclusion
We predict the Hawks, with an 85% win probability, will likely beat the Grizzlies on Monday, with Jalen Johnson projected for a game-high 58 fantasy points.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Grizzlies vs. Hawks insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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