Grizzlies vs. Hawks prediction: Why Atlanta is favored to win Monday's NBA game [3/23/2026]

The Atlanta Hawks will square off with the Memphis Grizzlies in NBA action at State Farm Arena on Monday, starting at 7:30 PM ET.

Based on updated simulation results and today’s injury news, Dimers' proven NBA model predicts the Hawks as the most likely winner of the Grizzlies vs. Hawks game.

This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Hawks lineup will feature stars like Nickeil Alexander-Walker, CJ McCollum and Onyeka Okongwu, while the Grizzlies will look to Ty Jerome, Jaylen Wells and GG Jackson.

This article offers a closer look at Monday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.

Grizzlies vs. Hawks prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Monday's NBA game between the Grizzlies and Hawks 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently gives the Hawks an 84% chance of beating the Grizzlies. Our predicted final score has the Hawks winning 124-112.

According to our model, the Grizzlies (+13.5) have a 56% chance of covering the spread, while the 239-point over/under has a 56% chance of staying under.

Grizzlies vs. Hawks odds

We have researched the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Grizzlies	Hawks
Spread	+13.5 (-105)	-13.5 (-108)
Moneyline	+600	-820
Total	o239 (-110)	u239 (-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Grizzlies vs. Hawks picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Spread	Grizzlies +13.5	-105
Moneyline	Grizzlies	+600
Total	Under 239	-110

According to our best NBA bets for Monday, the top play to make on this game is Grizzlies +13.5 at the spread.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Grizzlies vs. Hawks player props

Looking for Grizzlies vs. Hawks NBA prop bets? We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at State Farm Arena.

Ty Jerome is expected to lead the Grizzlies with 19 points, 3 rebounds and 5 assists, while Nickeil Alexander-Walker is projected to have 21 points, 4 rebounds and 4 assists for the Hawks.

Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.

Grizzlies prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Grizzlies are:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Ty Jerome	19	3	5	2	36
Jaylen Wells	14	3	2	2	25
GG Jackson	14	5	2	1	28
O. Prosper	12	5	2	1	25
Walter Clayton	10	3	6	1	27

Hawks prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Hawks:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
N. Alexander-Walker	21	4	4	3	38
CJ McCollum	19	3	4	2	35
Onyeka Okongwu	15	8	3	2	36
J. Kuminga	14	5	3	1	28
Dyson Daniels	13	7	7	0	37

Grizzlies vs. Hawks game-day updates and essential details

Monday's game between the Hawks and Grizzlies at State Farm Arena is scheduled to start at 7:30 PM ET.

• Who: Memphis Grizzlies vs. Atlanta Hawks
• Date: Monday, March 23, 2026
• Time: 7:30 PM ET/4:30PM PT
• Venue: State Farm Arena

Conclusion

We predict the Hawks, with an 84% win probability, will likely beat the Grizzlies on Monday, with Nickeil Alexander-Walker projected for a game-high 38 fantasy points.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Grizzlies vs. Hawks insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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