Maple Leafs vs. Lightning Prediction and Odds - Apr 24, 2023

NHL action continues on Monday at 7:30PM ET as the Toronto Maple Leafs lock horns with the Tampa Bay Lightning in the 2023 Stanley Cup Playoffs at Amalie Arena.

The Stanley Cup Playoffs (aka NHL Playoffs) is an elimination tournament in the NHL to decide the winner of the Stanley Cup.

Sixteen teams, including the Maple Leafs and Lightning, reached the NHL Playoffs 2023, which consists of 4 rounds – the First Round, Second Round, Conference Finals and Stanley Cup Finals.

Each round is contested as a best-of-seven series, with the first team to 4 wins progressing to the next round of the competition.

Dimers' top betting picks for Maple Leafs vs. Lightning, plus game predictions, betting odds and touchdown scorer probabilities, are featured in this article.

Who will win Maple Leafs vs. Lightning?

Using advanced computer power and data, Dimers.com has simulated Monday's Maple Leafs-Lightning NHL Playoffs game 10,000 times.

Dimers' revolutionary predictive analytics model, DimersBOT, can't split the two teams, giving both the Maple Leafs and Lightning a 50% chance of winning the game.

More: Maple Leafs vs. Lightning Simulated 10,000 Times

Maple Leafs vs. Lightning Current Odds

• Puck Line: Lightning -1.5 (+225), Maple Leafs +1.5 (-265)
• Moneyline: Lightning -110, Maple Leafs +100
• Total: Over/Under 6.5 (-104/-115)

Puck Line, Moneyline and Over/Under

The Lightning are listed as -1.5 favorites versus the Maple Leafs, with +225 at DraftKings Sportsbook the best odds currently available.

For the underdog Maple Leafs (+1.5) to cover the puck line, DraftKings Sportsbook also has the best odds currently on offer at -265.

BetMGM currently has the best moneyline odds for the Lightning at -110, which means you can risk $110 to win $100, for a total payout of $210, if they get the W.

Meanwhile, DraftKings Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Maple Leafs at +100, where you can risk $100 to win $100, for a total payout of $200, if they come out on top.

The Over/Under for total goals scored sits at 6.5 with FanDuel Sportsbook, which currently has the best odds for the Over at -104, while PointsBet currently has the best odds for the Under at -115.

As always, make sure you check all of the sportsbooks available in your state for the best NHL odds and lines.

According to DimersBOT, the Maple Leafs (+1.5) are a 70% chance of covering the puck line, while the 6.5-goal Over/Under is a 53% chance of going Under.

More: Best Prop Bets to Make Today

Best Bets for Maple Leafs vs. Lightning

• Puck Line: Lightning -1.5 @ +225 via DraftKings Sportsbook
• Moneyline: Maple Leafs @ +100 via DraftKings Sportsbook (50% probability)
• Total: Under 6.5 @ -115 via PointsBet (53% probability)

Our best bets are based on detailed modeling and wagering intelligence to serve you the best possible plays every time.

Even though the Maple Leafs are more likely to cover the puck line, our best bet of Lightning -1.5 is based on the chance of that happening, according to DimersBOT, and the best odds available.

Maple Leafs vs. Lightning Betting Guide

Click or tap on See Matchup for more.

Dimers has full coverage of Monday's Maple Leafs-Lightning matchup, including pregame predictions, computer picks, and live updates.

Maple Leafs vs. Lightning Player Props

Who will score the first goal in Maple Leafs vs. Lightning? The data is in.

Listed below are the most likely first goal and most likely anytime goal scorers for both the Maple Leafs and Lightning.

And you know what, we provide this information to you for FREE to help you choose the best prop picks for Monday's game.

According to DimersBOT, Toronto's Auston Matthews is most likely to score the first goal in Maple Leafs vs. Lightning.

DimersBOT gives Matthews a ** chance of scoring the first goal at Amalie Arena, while the Maple Leafs star is a 47.2% chance of netting an anytime goal**.

Scroll down for the complete list of first and anytime goal scorer probabilities.

First Goal Scorer Probabilities

Toronto Maple Leafs

• Auston Matthews: 10.0% probability
• Mitchell Marner: 7.2% probability
• John Tavares: 5.5% probability
• William Nylander: 5.0% probability
• Ryan O'Reilly: 3.9% probability

Tampa Bay Lightning

• Brayden Point: 8.1% probability
• Steven Stamkos: 6.8% probability
• Nikita Kucherov: 6.2% probability
• Alex Killorn: 4.8% probability
• Brandon Hagel: 3.3% probability

Anytime Goal Scorer Probabilities

Toronto Maple Leafs

• Auston Matthews: 47.2% probability
• Mitchell Marner: 35.6% probability
• John Tavares: 31.0% probability
• William Nylander: 29.7% probability
• Ryan O'Reilly: 22.4% probability

Tampa Bay Lightning

• Brayden Point: 37.8% probability
• Steven Stamkos: 35.8% probability
• Nikita Kucherov: 34.4% probability
• Alex Killorn: 26.6% probability
• Brandon Hagel: 19.6% probability

Remember, DimersBOT updates often, so keep checking this article for any changes to our betting analysis ahead of Maple Leafs vs. Lightning on Monday April 24, 2023.

Maple Leafs vs. Lightning 2023 Game Info

Monday's matchup between the Lightning and Maple Leafs in the NHL Playoffs is scheduled to begin at 7:30PM ET.

• Who: Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Tampa Bay Lightning
• Date: Monday April 24, 2023
• Time: 7:30PM ET / 4:30PM PT
• Venue: Amalie Arena

Want to join an online sportsbook and start betting on the NHL Playoffs now? Check out the top sportsbook bonus offers in your state.

Want more NHL previews like this?

To get more NHL betting previews like you've just read for Maple Leafs vs. Lightning, all you've gotta do is visit our NHL Betting News section. It's that easy – they're all there!

We use the power of predictive analytics to find edges in the markets so we can publish the most comprehensive NHL betting previews available. We're able to do this by comparing our own probabilities against the sportsbooks' odds (aka Vegas odds) the minute they go live.

So, get ahead of the game and beat the bookies today – it's only a click away.

As well as the above-mentioned picks and predicitons, Dimers also provides the best NHL prop bets for today, with our projections for first and anytime goal scorers and more lined up against the sportsbook odds every single day of the NHL season.