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Lakers vs. Warriors prediction: Golden State to win, LeBron James projected for 24 points in Thursday's NBA game [4/9/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Los Angeles Lakers vs Golden State Warriors predictions for NBA Thursday.
NBA action continues on Thursday at 10:00 PM ET as the Los Angeles Lakers square off with the Golden State Warriors at Chase Center.
Based on the latest simulation results and today’s injury reports, Dimers' proven NBA model projects the Warriors as the most likely winner of the Lakers vs. Warriors game.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Warriors lineup will feature players like Stephen Curry, De'Anthony Melton and Brandin Podziemski, while the Lakers will rely on LeBron James, Rui Hachimura and Luke Kennard.
Luka Doncic will not be on the court, with the Slovenian star out for this one.
This article offers further insights into Thursday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Lakers vs. Warriors prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Thursday's NBA game between the Lakers and Warriors, forming part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model currently gives the Warriors a 63% chance of defeating the Lakers. Our predicted final score has the Warriors winning 114-110.
According to our model, the Lakers (+4.5) have a 52% chance of covering the spread, while the 225.5-point over/under has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
Lakers vs. Warriors odds
We have sourced the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Lakers | Warriors |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +4.5 (-108) | -4.5 (-110) |
| Moneyline | +160 | -188 |
| Total | o225.5 (-110) | u225.5 (-108) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Lakers vs. Warriors picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Lakers +4.5 | -108 |
| Moneyline | Lakers | +160 |
| Total | Under 225.5 | -108 |
According to our best NBA bets for Thursday, the top play to make on this game is Lakers +4.5 at the spread.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Lakers vs. Warriors player props
Betting on Lakers vs. Warriors NBA prop bets? We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Chase Center.
LeBron James is expected to lead the Lakers with 24 points, 7 rebounds and 9 assists, while Stephen Curry is projected to have 22 points, 3 rebounds and 5 assists for the Warriors.
Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.
Lakers prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Lakers are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeBron James | 24 | 7 | 9 | 1 | 53 |
| Rui Hachimura | 14 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 23 |
| Luke Kennard | 13 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 29 |
| Deandre Ayton | 11 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 27 |
| Jake LaRavia | 11 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 25 |
Warriors prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Warriors:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Curry | 22 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 39 |
| D. Melton | 15 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 31 |
| B. Podziemski | 15 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 34 |
| Gui Santos | 14 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 31 |
| Gary Payton | 13 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 29 |
Lakers vs. Warriors game-day updates and essential details
Thursday's matchup between the Warriors and Lakers at Chase Center is scheduled to start at 10:00 PM ET.
- Who: Los Angeles Lakers vs. Golden State Warriors
- Date: Thursday, April 9, 2026
- Time: 10:00 PM ET/7:00PM PT
- Venue: Chase Center
Conclusion
We predict the Warriors, with a 63% win probability, will likely beat the Lakers in Thursday's NBA matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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