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Lakers vs. Mavericks prediction: Lakers to win, Luka Doncic projected for big game in Saturday's NBA matchup [1/24/2026]

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Written by Jason Bevilacqua

Get Los Angeles Lakers vs Dallas Mavericks predictions for NBA Saturday.

Los Angeles Lakers-Dallas Mavericks Predictions and Game Preview.
Los Angeles Lakers vs. Dallas Mavericks NBA prediction for Saturday, January 24, 2026.

The Dallas Mavericks will square off with the Los Angeles Lakers in NBA action at American Airlines Center on Saturday, beginning at 8:30 PM ET.

Based on the latest simulations and today’s injury reports, Dimers' proven NBA model predicts the Lakers as the most likely winner of the Lakers vs. Mavericks game.

This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Mavericks lineup will feature stars like Cooper Flagg, Naji Marshall and Max Christie, while the Lakers will rely on Luka Doncic, LeBron James and Deandre Ayton.

Doncic is expected to shine with a projected 35 points and 3 threes.

This article offers further insights into Saturday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.

Lakers vs. Mavs prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's NBA matchup between the Lakers and Mavericks 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently gives the Lakers a 65% chance of defeating the Mavericks. Our predicted final score has the Lakers winning 117-113.

According to our model, the Lakers (-4.5) have a 51% chance of covering the spread, while the 233.5-point over/under has a 54% chance of staying under.

 

Lakers vs. Mavericks odds

We have sourced the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Lakers Mavericks
Spread -4.5 (-102) +4.5 (-118)
Moneyline -175 +152
Total o233.5 (-110) u233.5 (-108)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Lakers vs. Mavericks picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type Pick Bet Now
Spread Lakers -4.5 -102
Moneyline Lakers -175
Total Under 233.5 -108

According to our best NBA bets for Saturday, the top play to make on this game is Under 233.5 total points.

 

Lakers vs. Mavericks player props

NBA prop bets are an exciting way to wager on Saturday's LA Lakers vs. Dallas matchup without necessarily betting on the outcome. We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at American Airlines Center.

Luka Doncic is expected to lead the Lakers with 35 points, 8 rebounds and 9 assists, while Cooper Flagg is projected to have 20 points, 6 rebounds and 4 assists for the Mavericks.

Luka Doncic 2026.
Luka Doncic is projected to score 35 points tonight.

Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.

Lakers prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Lakers are:

Player PTS REB AST 3PM DFS
Luka Doncic 35 8 9 3 66
LeBron James 23 7 7 2 48
Deandre Ayton 13 8 1 0 29
Rui Hachimura 11 3 1 2 19
Marcus Smart 11 3 3 2 24

Mavericks prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Mavericks:

Player PTS REB AST 3PM DFS
Cooper Flagg 20 6 4 1 39
Naji Marshall 19 5 4 1 35
Max Christie 15 4 3 3 28
P.J. Washington 13 5 2 1 27
B. Williams 13 2 4 1 25

Lakers vs. Mavs game-day updates and essential details

Saturday's matchup between the Mavericks and Lakers at American Airlines Center is scheduled to start at 8:30 PM ET.

Conclusion

We predict the Lakers, with a 65% win probability, will likely beat the Mavericks on Saturday, with Luka Doncic projected for a game-high 66 fantasy points.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Lakers vs. Mavericks insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

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Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.

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