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Lakers vs. Mavericks prediction: Lakers to win, Luka Doncic projected for big game in Saturday's NBA matchup [1/24/2026]
Get Los Angeles Lakers vs Dallas Mavericks predictions for NBA Saturday.

The Dallas Mavericks will square off with the Los Angeles Lakers in NBA action at American Airlines Center on Saturday, beginning at 8:30 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulations and today’s injury reports, Dimers' proven NBA model predicts the Lakers as the most likely winner of the Lakers vs. Mavericks game.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Mavericks lineup will feature stars like Cooper Flagg, Naji Marshall and Max Christie, while the Lakers will rely on Luka Doncic, LeBron James and Deandre Ayton.
Doncic is expected to shine with a projected 35 points and 3 threes.
This article offers further insights into Saturday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Lakers vs. Mavs prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's NBA matchup between the Lakers and Mavericks 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model currently gives the Lakers a 65% chance of defeating the Mavericks. Our predicted final score has the Lakers winning 117-113.
According to our model, the Lakers (-4.5) have a 51% chance of covering the spread, while the 233.5-point over/under has a 54% chance of staying under.
Lakers vs. Mavericks odds
We have sourced the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Lakers | Mavericks |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -4.5 (-102) | +4.5 (-118) |
| Moneyline | -175 | +152 |
| Total | o233.5 (-110) | u233.5 (-108) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Lakers vs. Mavericks picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Lakers -4.5 | -102 |
| Moneyline | Lakers | -175 |
| Total | Under 233.5 | -108 |
According to our best NBA bets for Saturday, the top play to make on this game is Under 233.5 total points.
Lakers vs. Mavericks player props
NBA prop bets are an exciting way to wager on Saturday's LA Lakers vs. Dallas matchup without necessarily betting on the outcome. We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at American Airlines Center.
Luka Doncic is expected to lead the Lakers with 35 points, 8 rebounds and 9 assists, while Cooper Flagg is projected to have 20 points, 6 rebounds and 4 assists for the Mavericks.

Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.
Lakers prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Lakers are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Doncic | 35 | 8 | 9 | 3 | 66 |
| LeBron James | 23 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 48 |
| Deandre Ayton | 13 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 29 |
| Rui Hachimura | 11 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 19 |
| Marcus Smart | 11 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 24 |
Mavericks prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Mavericks:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cooper Flagg | 20 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 39 |
| Naji Marshall | 19 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 35 |
| Max Christie | 15 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 28 |
| P.J. Washington | 13 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 27 |
| B. Williams | 13 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 25 |
Lakers vs. Mavs game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's matchup between the Mavericks and Lakers at American Airlines Center is scheduled to start at 8:30 PM ET.
- Who: Los Angeles Lakers vs. Dallas Mavericks
- Date: Saturday, January 24, 2026
- Time: 8:30 PM ET/5:30PM PT
- Venue: American Airlines Center
Conclusion
We predict the Lakers, with a 65% win probability, will likely beat the Mavericks on Saturday, with Luka Doncic projected for a game-high 66 fantasy points.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Lakers vs. Mavericks insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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