Lorenzo Musetti vs. Raphael Collignon prediction, odds, picks for 2026 Australian Open

Lorenzo Musetti and Raphael Collignon will lock horns in the first round of the 2026 Australian Open on Monday.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced tennis model projects Lorenzo Musetti as the most likely winner of the Musetti vs. Collignon match.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Monday's match, including best bets and picks.

Musetti vs. Collignon prediction: Who will win and advance to the second round?

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Monday's Musetti-Collignon men's singles match 10,000 times as part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model gives Musetti an 83% chance of beating Collignon in the 2026 Australian Open.

Additionally, Musetti has a 75% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Musetti (-5.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the under 37.5 games has a 63% chance of hitting**, according to our model.

Lorenzo Musetti vs. Raphael Collignon odds

We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Musetti vs. Collignon picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below: