Lions vs. Chiefs Week 1 Prediction and Odds - September 7, 2023

Lions vs. Chiefs Week 1 Prediction and Odds - September 7, 2023

The Kansas City Chiefs and Detroit Lions will meet in Week 1 of the NFL season at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium on Thursday, starting at 8:20PM ET.

Dimers' free betting picks for Lions vs. Chiefs, plus game predictions, betting odds and projected player stats, are detailed below.

Today's Detroit vs. Kansas City betting preview is sponsored by Bet365, which has an outstanding Bet $1, Get $365 in Bonus Bets offer for new users.


Who Will Win: Lions vs. Chiefs

Using advanced computer power and data, has simulated Thursday's Lions-Chiefs NFL game 10,000 times.

Dimers' leading predictive analytics model, DimersBOT, gives the Chiefs a 63% chance of defeating the Lions in Week 1 of the NFL season.

More: Lions vs. Chiefs Simulated 10,000 Times

Lions vs. Chiefs Odds

  • Spread: Chiefs -3.5 (-120), Lions +3.5 (-102)
  • Moneyline: Chiefs -205, Lions +184
  • Total: Over/Under 53.5 (-110/-110)

The Chiefs are -3.5 favorites versus the Lions, with -120 at FanDuel Sportsbook the best odds currently available.

For the underdog Lions (+3.5) to cover the spread, FanDuel Sportsbook also has the best odds currently on offer at -102.

DraftKings Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Chiefs at -205, which means you can risk $205 to win $100, for a total payout of $305, if they get the W.

Elsewhere, FanDuel Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Lions at +184, where you can bet $100 to profit $184, earning a total payout of $284, if they win.

The Over/Under sits at 53.5 with PointsBet, which currently has the best odds for the Over at -110, as well as the best odds for the Under at -110.

As always, check out the sportsbooks you can bet with in your state for the best NFL odds and lines.

According to DimersBOT, the Chiefs (-3.5) have a 56% chance of covering the spread, while the Over/Under total of 53.5 points has a 51% chance of going Under.

More: Best Bets for Every NFL Matchup

Best Bets: Lions vs. Chiefs


Dimers' best bets are based on world-class simulations and betting expertise to help you make more informed investments with the legal sportsbooks in your state.

Lions vs. Chiefs Prediction's predicted final score for Detroit vs. Kansas City at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium in Week 1 has the Chiefs winning 28-24.

Click or tap on See Matchup for more information.


Dimers has full coverage of this week's Lions-Chiefs game in Week 1, including pregame predictions, best betting picks, and live win probabilities.

Lions vs. Chiefs Player Props

Who will score an anytime touchdown in Lions vs. Chiefs? The latest data is in.

Featured below are the most likely first touchdown and most likely anytime touchdown scorers for both the Lions and Chiefs, as well as player stat projections.

And you know what, we provide this information to you for FREE to help you select the best prop picks for Thursday's game.

According to DimersBOT, Kansas City's Isiah Pacheco is most likely to score the first TD in Lions vs. Chiefs.

DimersBOT gives Pacheco a 9.0% chance of scoring the first TD at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium, while the Chiefs RB is a 43.3% chance of registering an anytime touchdown.

Scroll down for the full list of first and anytime TD scorer probabilities.


First Touchdown Scorer Probabilities

Detroit Lions

  • David Montgomery: 8.9% probability
  • Jahmyr Gibbs: 8.9% probability
  • Amon-Ra St. Brown: 7.1% probability
  • Marvin Jones: 4.6% probability
  • Sam LaPorta: 4.5% probability

Kansas City Chiefs

  • Isiah Pacheco: 9.0% probability
  • Kadarius Toney: 6.8% probability
  • Skyy Moore: 5.5% probability
  • Jerick McKinnon: 4.8% probability
  • Noah Gray: 4.6% probability

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Probabilities

Detroit Lions

  • David Montgomery: 43.9% probability
  • Jahmyr Gibbs: 41.7% probability
  • Amon-Ra St. Brown: 36.4% probability
  • Sam LaPorta: 24.6% probability
  • Marvin Jones: 24.2% probability

Kansas City Chiefs

  • Isiah Pacheco: 43.3% probability
  • Kadarius Toney: 35.3% probability
  • Skyy Moore: 28.6% probability
  • Jerick McKinnon: 25.9% probability
  • Noah Gray: 25.3% probability

Lions-Chiefs Projected Player Stats

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Lions' Jared Goff is projected to have a big game with 263 passing yards. The Chiefs' Patrick Mahomes is expected to throw for 259 yards.

Lions Starting QB

  • Jared Goff: 263 projected yards

Chiefs Starting QB

  • Patrick Mahomes: 259 projected yards

Lions Rushing

  • David Montgomery: 55 projected yards
  • Jahmyr Gibbs: 43 projected yards
  • Jared Goff: 7 projected yards

Chiefs Rushing

  • Isiah Pacheco: 64 projected yards
  • Clyde Edwards-Helaire: 25 projected yards
  • Patrick Mahomes: 22 projected yards

Lions Receiving

  • Amon-Ra St. Brown: 83 projected yards
  • Jahmyr Gibbs: 34 projected yards
  • Marvin Jones: 30 projected yards
  • Sam LaPorta: 29 projected yards
  • Josh Reynolds: 28 projected yards

Chiefs Receiving

  • Skyy Moore: 50 projected yards
  • Marquez Valdes-Scantling: 49 projected yards
  • Kadarius Toney: 33 projected yards
  • Noah Gray: 32 projected yards
  • Jerick McKinnon: 29 projected yards

Don't forget, DimersBOT updates often, so keep checking this page for any changes to our betting analysis before Lions vs. Chiefs on Thursday September 7, 2023.


Lions vs. Chiefs 2023

The NFL Week 1 matchup between the Chiefs and Lions at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium is scheduled to commence at 8:20PM ET.

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Make Smarter Sports Betting Decisions with Dimers

Dimers' predictions are made thanks to 10,000 simulations per game, using reliable and up-to-date data sources and analytical methods.

While these Lions vs. Chiefs picks can help you make informed decisions, it's important that you gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

What Other NFL Games Are on Today?

The Lions and Chiefs aren't the only two NFL teams you can bet on. DimersBOT never stops and we've got picks and best bets for each and every NFL game via our NFL predictions. Not only do we provide with you top-notch predictions, but we also have recommended bets for the Spread, Over/Under and Moneyline. Sound good? Check it out today!

In addition to our leading NFL predictions, we also feature the best NFL prop bets today, projecting passing yards, touchdowns, and more against the best odds available every day of the NFL season.

Kevin Hansen
Senior Sports Analyst

Kevin Hansen has a track record of delivering high-quality content. He writes about all sports, but his favorites are the NFL, NBA, MLB, and NHL. Kevin enjoys crunching the numbers and using data-driven insights to take on the sportsbooks. The majority of Kevin's time is spent writing about sports betting. His love for data and analytics drove him into the world of sports betting. Finding an edge in sports betting can take a long time, but Kevin believes it is well worth the effort. Kevin is just as passionate about sports as you are, and he empowers fellow bettors to become more educated through simple, actionable betting tips. It can be difficult to navigate the world of sports betting, which is where Kevin comes in to make it as simple as possible for you to pick a winner.

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