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Lilli Tagger vs. Maria Sakkari prediction, odds, picks for WTA Italian Open 2026
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Tagger vs Sakkari predictions for WTA Italian Open.
Lilli Tagger and Maria Sakkari will meet in the round of 128 of the WTA Italian Open event on Wednesday.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced tennis model predicts Maria Sakkari as the most likely winner of the Tagger vs. Sakkari match.
This article offers further insights into Wednesday's match, including best bets and picks.
Tagger vs. Sakkari prediction: Who will win and advance to the second round?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Wednesday's Tagger-Sakkari women's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently gives Sakkari a 60% chance of beating Tagger at the WTA Italian Open tournament.
Additionally, Sakkari has a 58% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Sakkari (-1.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the over 21.5 games has a 51% chance of hitting, according to our model.
Lilli Tagger vs. Maria Sakkari odds
We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Tagger | Sakkari |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +137 | -140 |
| First Set | +130 | -164 |
| Game Spread | +1.5 (-110) | -1.5 (-120) |
| Total Games | o21.5 (-115) | u21.5 (-118) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Tagger vs. Sakkari picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Sakkari | -140 |
| First Set | Sakkari | -115 |
According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is Maria Sakkari to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Tagger vs. Sakkari updates and essential details
The WTA Italian Open match between Lilli Tagger and Maria Sakkari is scheduled to begin on Wednesday at 9:30 AM ET.
- Who: Lilli Tagger vs. Maria Sakkari
- Date: Wednesday, May 6, 2026
- Approx. Time: 9:30 AM ET/6:30AM PT
- Tournament: WTA Rome, Italy Women's Singles 2026
- Round: Round of 128
All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
We predict Maria Sakkari, with a 60% win probability, will likely beat Lilli Tagger at the WTA Italian Open tournament.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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