Lightning vs. Penguins Prediction and Odds - Feb 26, 2023

The Pittsburgh Penguins face the Tampa Bay Lightning in NHL action at PPG Paints Arena on Sunday, commencing at 6:00PM ET.

Dimers' free betting picks for Lightning vs. Penguins, plus game predictions, betting odds and projected player stats, are featured in this article.

Who will win Lightning vs. Penguins?

Based on cutting-edge computer power and data, Dimers.com has simulated Sunday's Lightning-Penguins NHL matchup 10,000 times.

Dimers' revolutionary predictive analytics model, DimersBOT, currently gives the Lightning a 52% chance of beating the Penguins.

More: Lightning vs. Penguins Simulated 10K Times

Lightning vs. Penguins Current Odds

• Puck Line: Penguins +1.5 (-260), Lightning -1.5 (+220)
• Moneyline: Penguins -105, Lightning -105
• Total: Over/Under 6.5 (-120/+110)

Puck Line, Moneyline and Over/Under

The Penguins are +1.5 underdogs against the Lightning, with -260 at DraftKings Sportsbook the best odds currently available.

For the favored Lightning (-1.5) to cover the puck line, DraftKings Sportsbook also has the best odds currently on offer at +220.

In a sign of how close this game is expected to be, both the Penguins and Lightning are currently at minus-money betting odds on the moneyline.

DraftKings Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Penguins at -105, which means you can risk $105 to win $100, for a total payout of $205, if they get the W.

On the other hand, PointsBet currently has the best moneyline odds for the Lightning at -105, where you can risk $105 to win $100, for a total payout of $205, if they come out on top.

The Over/Under for total goals scored is set at 6.5 with BetMGM, which currently has the best odds for the Over at -120, while DraftKings Sportsbook currently has the best odds for the Under at +110.

As always, make sure you check all of the legal sportbooks available in your state for the best NHL odds and lines.

According to DimersBOT, the Penguins (+1.5) are a 69% chance of covering the puck line, while the Over/Under total of 6.5 goals is a 52% chance of going Under.

More: Best Bets Today for All Major Sports

Best Bets for Lightning vs. Penguins

• Puck Line: Lightning -1.5 @ +220 via DraftKings Sportsbook
• Moneyline: Lightning @ -105 via PointsBet (52% probability)
• Total: Under 6.5 @ +110 via DraftKings Sportsbook (52% probability) 🔥

When you see a 🔥, that means it's one of Dimers' best free picks today across any sport.

Our best bets are based on detailed simulations and wagering expertise to help you make better decisions with the legal sportsbooks in your state.

Although the Penguins are more likely to cover the puck line, our best bet of Lightning -1.5 is based on the expectation of that happening, according to DimersBOT, and the best odds available.

Lightning vs. Penguins Prediction

Click or tap on See Matchup to reveal more.

Dimers has full betting coverage of Sunday's Lightning-Penguins matchup, including pregame predictions, free picks, and live win probabilities.

Lightning vs. Penguins Player Props

Who will score an anytime goal in Lightning vs. Penguins? The data is in.

Featured below are the most likely first goal and most likely anytime goal scorers for both the Lightning and Penguins.

And you know what, we provide this information to you for FREE to help you choose the best prop picks for Sunday's game.

According to DimersBOT, Tampa Bay's Steven Stamkos is most likely to score the first goal in Lightning vs. Penguins.

DimersBOT gives Stamkos a 7.4% chance of scoring the first goal at PPG Paints Arena, while the Lightning star is a 37.3% chance of netting an anytime goal.

Scroll down for the full list of first and anytime goal scorer probabilities.

First Goal Scorer Probabilities

Tampa Bay Lightning

• Steven Stamkos: 7.4% probability
• Brayden Point: 6.9% probability
• Nikita Kucherov: 6.5% probability
• Brandon Hagel: 4.8% probability
• Alex Killorn: 3.3% probability

Pittsburgh Penguins

• Jake Guentzel: 6.8% probability
• Evgeni Malkin: 6.4% probability
• Sidney Crosby: 6.2% probability
• Rickard Rakell: 5.5% probability
• Bryan Rust: 4.3% probability

Anytime Goal Scorer Probabilities

Tampa Bay Lightning

• Steven Stamkos: 37.3% probability
• Nikita Kucherov: 35.5% probability
• Brayden Point: 34.3% probability
• Brandon Hagel: 24.7% probability
• Ross Colton: 21.8% probability

Pittsburgh Penguins

• Jake Guentzel: 36.0% probability
• Sidney Crosby: 33.8% probability
• Evgeni Malkin: 32.6% probability
• Rickard Rakell: 31.6% probability
• Bryan Rust: 25.9% probability

Don't forget, DimersBOT updates often, so keep an eye on this article for the latest betting insights ahead of Lightning vs. Penguins on Sunday February 26, 2023.

Lightning vs. Penguins 2023 Game Info

Sunday's matchup between the Penguins and Lightning at PPG Paints Arena is scheduled to start at 6:00PM ET.

• Who: Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Pittsburgh Penguins
• Date: Sunday February 26, 2023
• Time: 6:00PM ET / 3:00PM PT
• Venue: PPG Paints Arena

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