Lightning vs. Maple Leafs Predictions and Odds - Nov 4, 2021

The Toronto Maple Leafs and Tampa Bay Lightning meet in the NHL at Scotiabank Arena on Thursday, with puck drop at 7:00 PM EDT.

Dimers' top betting picks for Lightning vs. Maple Leafs, as well as game predictions and best odds, are featured below.

Who will win Lightning vs. Maple Leafs?

Based on state-of-the-art machine learning and data, Dimers.com has simulated Thursday's Lightning-Maple Leafs matchup 10,000 times.

Dimers' famous predictive analytics model, DimersBOT, gives the Maple Leafs a 53% chance of winning against the Lightning.

MORE: Lightning vs. Maple Leafs simulated 10,000 times

Lightning vs. Maple Leafs Puck Line, Moneyline and Over/Under

The Maple Leafs are -1.5 favorites at home to the Lightning, with +205 at FanDuel Sportsbook the best odds available.

For the underdog Lightning (+1.5) to cover the puck line, DraftKings Sportsbook has the best odds on offer at -200.

FanDuel Sportsbook has the best moneyline odds for the Maple Leafs at -130, which means you can risk $130 to win $100, for a total payout of $230, if they get the W.

Elsewhere, DraftKings Sportsbook has the best moneyline odds for the Lightning at +120, where you can bet $100 to profit $120, earning a total payout of $220, if they win.

The Over/Under is set at 5.5 with Caesars Sportsbook, which has the best odds for the Over at -110, while DraftKings Sportsbook has the best odds for the Under at +100.

As always, check out the sportsbooks you can bet with in your state for the best NHL odds and lines.

According to DimersBOT, the Lightning (+1.5) are a 69% chance of covering the puck line, while the Over/Under total of 5.5 goals is a 53% chance of going Over.

Best Bets for Lightning vs. Maple Leafs

• Puck Line: Lightning +1.5 at -200 with DraftKings Sportsbook (69% probability)
• Moneyline: Lightning Win at +120 with DraftKings Sportsbook (1.8% edge)
• Over/Under: Over 5.5 at -110 with Caesars Sportsbook (53% probability)

While the Maple Leafs are more likely to win the game, according to DimersBOT, betting on the Lightning moneyline is the best option due to the 1.8% edge identified when comparing our data-led probabilities to the sportsbooks' odds.

Taking advantage of the edges seen here at Dimers.com is one of the keys to achieving long-term profitability as a bettor.

MORE: Best bets today for all major sports

Lightning vs. Maple Leafs Full Coverage

Dimers has full coverage of Thursday's Lightning-Maple Leafs matchup, including pre-game predictions, computer picks, live win probabilities, and play-by-play commentary.

Remember, DimersBOT updates often, so check this page for the latest before Lightning vs. Maple Leafs on Thursday November 4, 2021.

Lightning vs. Maple Leafs 2021 Game Info

When do the Maple Leafs play the Lightning?

• Date: Thursday November 4, 2021
• Time: 7:00 PM EDT / 4:00 PM PDT
• Venue: Scotiabank Arena

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