Kansas City Chiefs vs. Baltimore Ravens: Our NFL Same Game Parlay for the AFC Championship

It's Conference Championship weekend! We have just three NFL games left in the entire season, starting with the AFC Championship between the Kansas City Chiefs and Baltimore Ravens. We've sourced this parlay by using our best NFL props, powered by our cutting-edge predictive analytics models. By running 1000s of simulations on each game, Dimers can source the best NFL bets and best parlay picksto make each and every day.

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RELATED: Fade or Follow: The Most Popular NFL Props on Championship Sunday

Our +468 Kansas City Chiefs vs. Baltimore Ravens Same Game Parlay

+468 AFC Championship Parlay Analysis

Kansas City Chiefs vs. Baltimore Ravens - Sunday, January 28, 3:00PM ET

LEG 1: Lamar Jackson (BAL) Over 211.5 Passing Yards (-110)

We'll start off with the likely MVP of the 2023 season, Lamar Jackson. The Ravens supserstar is one of the most popular players to be ton this weekend, and we're joining the party. He's in our longshot TD parlay which you can read here but we're looking for him to surpass his 211.5 passing yards on line to cash this leg. his line varies slightly by book; it's up to 213.5 on DraftKings and it's priced at -115, so we're getting a better deal and a couple of free yards on FanDuel. 

DimersBOT loves this prop, as it shows up on our top value props list with a 62.3% probability of hitting, identifying a 9.9% edge against the books' odds. Additionally, our model projects Lamar for 245 passing yards, not only clearing this mark but also entering into plus-money territory if you want to bet his alternate over as a singles play.

MORE: Our Best NFL Prop Picks for the Conference Championships

LEG 2: Isiah Pacheco (KC) Over 61.5 Rushing Yards (-110)

Next, we're taking Chiefs running back Isiah Pacheco to clear his rushing yards mark, something he's done in both of his playoff appearances so far this postseason, rushing for 97 yards last week against Buffalo and 89 in the Wild Card round against Miami. The Ravens stifled the Texans last week, allowing just 22 yards to their leading rusher, Devin Singletary.

Baltimore was gashed for 100 yards by runners Devon Achane and Christian McCaffrey in the waning games of the year, so they're susceptible to giving up the yards to more dynamic backs and Pacheco fits that mold more than the plodding type. Pacheco gets a 61.1% probability to clear his mark, with an overall projection of 76 rushing yards.

LEG 3: Isiah Pacheco (KC) Anytime TD (+125)

Same name, different prop. We're again taking Isiah Pacheco, but in the anytime touchdown market. Dating back to Thanksgiving, Pacheco has six touchdowns in six games, including one in each postseason game. He owns the Kansas City backfield and continually gets looks deep in the red zone. Our model projects him with a 46.4% TD probability, making his fair odds +115, giving us slight value, plus it positively correlates with our rushing yards prop.

🏈 Kansas City Chiefs vs. Baltimore Ravens Predictions
📈 Betting preview: Kansas City Chiefs vs. Baltimore Ravens

NFL +468 Same Game Parlay Sunday, January 28, 2024

1️⃣ Lamar Jackson (BAL) Over 211.5 Passing Yards
2️⃣ Isiah Pacheco (KC) Over 61.5 Rushing Yards
3️⃣ Isiah Pacheco (KC) Anytime TD

The best odds for this SGP are over at FanDuel Sportsbook as of publishing and are subject to change.

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