Jaguars vs. Chiefs Player Props and Touchdown Props - Best Prop Bets for NFL Playoffs Divisional Round

Last updated: Dec 21, 2023, 9:45PM | Published: Jan 17, 2023, 4:20PM

Player props for the NFL Playoffs Divisional Round on Saturday afternoon between the Jaguars and the Chiefs. Luckily for you, we've identified a number of different player prop and touchdown predictions for you to bet on. Sink your teeth into everything from first touchdown props at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium, down to rushing yards props and receiving yards props, below.

Our predictive analytics model, known as DimersBOT, has run over 10,000 simulations of this NFL Divisional Round game between the Jacksonville Jaguars and the Kansas City Chiefs, where we have predicted the Chiefs to register a win. Based on our Jaguars-Chiefs predictions, it also looks as though Kansas' Travis Kelce is in for a big game, with the Chiefs TE featuring heavily in our projections. While names like Travis Etienne and Patrick Mahomes are also prominent, with more detail about what you can expect from them, outlined below.

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NFL Divisional Round Props: Jaguars vs. Chiefs

Wondering where to look in first touchdown props markets in this game between Jaguars vs. Chiefs? Well, the latest data for this Saturday afternoon Football matchup is in.

Listed below are our best first touchdown props and best anytime touchdown props for both the Jaguars and Chiefs, as well as player prop predictions.

And you know what, we provide this player prop information to you for FREE to help you select the best prop bets for Saturday afternoon's game.

According to DimersBOT, Kansas City's Travis Kelce is the best first TD prop bet to place in Jaguars vs. Chiefs.

The Dimers AI predictive analytics machine gives Kelce a 12.3% chance of cashing our first touchdown prop bet tickets at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium, while the Chiefs TE is also a 55.7% chance of cashing those anytime touchdown prop bet tickets if you're looking for something a little more safe.

Scroll down for our complete list of first touchdown props and anytime TD prop predictions.

Jaguars vs. Chiefs Touchdown Props

First Touchdown Scorer

PLAYER	FIRST TOUCHDOWN
Travis Kelce (Chiefs)	12.3% probability
Jerick McKinnon (Chiefs)	12.2% probability
Travis Etienne (Jaguars)	10.3% probability
Christian Kirk (Jaguars)	8.6% probability
Isiah Pacheco (Chiefs)	7.4% probability
JuJu Smith-Schuster (Chiefs)	5.3% probability
Trevor Lawrence (Jaguars)	4.9% probability
Evan Engram (Jaguars)	4.7% probability
Zay Jones (Jaguars)	4.4% probability
Patrick Mahomes (Chiefs)	4.3% probability

Anytime Touchdown Scorer

PLAYER	ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
Travis Kelce (Chiefs)	55.7% probability
Jerick McKinnon (Chiefs)	54.5% probability
Travis Etienne (Jaguars)	49.5% probability
Christian Kirk (Jaguars)	42.8% probability
Isiah Pacheco (Chiefs)	38.1% probability
JuJu Smith-Schuster (Chiefs)	28.0% probability
Trevor Lawrence (Jaguars)	26.6% probability
Marquez Valdes-Scantling (Chiefs)	23.9% probability
Evan Engram (Jaguars)	23.8% probability
Zay Jones (Jaguars)	23.8% probability

ANALYSIS: Jaguars vs. Chiefs Picks and Analysis

NFL Playoffs: How to Watch Jaguars at Chiefs Live Without Cable on January 21 https://t.co/kiT14rwD33 pic.twitter.com/r1ttIcoK3J
— TV Guide (@TVGuide) January 17, 2023

Jaguars at Chiefs Player Prop Predictions

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Jaguars' Trevor Lawrence is predicted to throw for 254 passing yards, while the Chiefs' Patrick Mahomes is expected to throw for a whopping 306 yards.

Look for the 🔥 below, as that indicates a spot where DimersBOT has found value against the sportsbooks. To make things easy for you, we even list the best player props bets for Jaguars-Chiefs, below.

Jaguars Starting QB Prediction

Trevor Lawrence: 254 yards

Chiefs Starting QB Prediction

Patrick Mahomes: 306 yards

Jaguars Rushing Yards Predictions

Travis Etienne: 78 yards
Trevor Lawrence: 21 yards
JaMycal Hasty: 15 yards

Chiefs Rushing Yards Predictions

Isiah Pacheco: 48 yards
Patrick Mahomes: 24 yards
Clyde Edwards-Helaire: 16 yards
Jerick McKinnon: 15 yards

Jaguars Receiving Yards Predictions

Christian Kirk: 53 yards
Zay Jones: 51 yards
Evan Engram: 44 yards
Marvin Jones: 28 yards
Travis Etienne: 22 yards

Chiefs Receiving Yards Predictions

Travis Kelce: 83 projected yards
JuJu Smith-Schuster: 65 projected yards
Marquez Valdes-Scantling: 35 projected yards
Jerick McKinnon: 34 projected yards
Kadarius Toney: 28 projected yards

ANALYSIS: Playoffs betting previews for every Divisional Round NFL game
RELATED: Player Props for Giants vs. Eagles Divisional Round Matchup

Jaguars Chiefs Props and Touchdowns Bets for NFL playoffs Divisional Round

Jaguars vs. Chiefs Player Prop Bets

🔥 BET: Jerick McKinnon Under 20.5 Rushing Yards (-115)

Our player props predictive analytics model has McKinnon down for significantly less than his line of 20.5 rushing yards (we have him getting just 15) on Saturday afternoon, so at odds of -115 we are betting his UNDER and getting an edge of 24.2% with DraftKings Sportsbook, where new customers can score $200 in bonus bets from just a $5 wager here.

🔥 BET: Isiah Pacheco Under 55.5 Rushing Yards (-114)

Following over 10,000 different simulations of this Saturday afternoon matchup between the Jaguars and the Chiefs, our player prop model has identified that the rushing yards line of 55.5 for Pacheco is also too high. We have the Chiefs man down for 48 rushing yards (see above), so betting his UNDER (-114) with DraftKings Sportsbook is the play, giving us an edge of 12.5% vs. the sportsbook. Remember, new DraftKings customers can score $200 in bonus bets from just a $5 wager here.

🔥 BET: Zay Jones Under 54.5 Receiving Yards (-115)

The player props super computer has identified a receiving yards prop in Jaguars man Zay Jones. We have him down for just 51 receiving yards on Saturday afternoon at a probability of 65.1% and a 11.7% edge with DraftKings Sportsbook, where we can score those $200 in bonus bets from just a $5 wager here.

Jaguars vs. Chiefs Touchdown Bet

🏈 BET: Christian Kirk Score a Touchdown (+190)

The Dimers player prop AI machine has found some value here for Christian Kirk to score a TD on Saturday afternoon. While the model has identified him as a 42.8% chance of reaching the endzone, the real value is the huge 8.3% edge we have vs. the sportsbooks' odds. We can bet this over at DraftKings Sportsbook to get $200 in bonus bets from just a $5 wager here.

BEST BETS: Access NFL Player Prop bets for every Divisional Round game

Nick Slade

Chief Content Officer

Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience as a sports and betting expert, serves as the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, where he steers the editorial and digital content strategy for leading platforms like Dimers.com, Stats Insider and Gambling Today. Specializing in soccer, Nick brings a global perspective to his coverage of the sport, including detailed analyses of MLS games. He also contributes to NHL content through game previews, best bets, and props, and lends his expertise to crafting NBA first basket betting content.

With a robust background as a journalist and broadcaster, Nick has been a trusted voice on major networks and channels such as Fox Sports, WCBV-TV Boston, ESPN, ABC, and others. His profound understanding of sports and betting dynamics has made him a sought-after authority in the wagering and gambling industries.

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