...
...
Read Article
- More Betting
Pacers vs. Cavaliers prediction: Cleveland to win, Donovan Mitchell projected for big game in Sunday's NBA matchup [4/5/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Indiana Pacers vs Cleveland Cavaliers predictions for NBA Sunday.
The Cleveland Cavaliers and Indiana Pacers are scheduled to meet in NBA action at Rocket Arena on Sunday, starting at 6:00 PM ET.
Based on updated simulation results and today’s injury reports, Dimers' advanced NBA model predicts the Cavaliers as the most likely winner of the Pacers vs. Cavaliers game.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Cavaliers lineup will feature stars like Donovan Mitchell, James Harden and Max Strus, while the Pacers will be led by Jarace Walker, Quenton Jackson and Kobe Brown.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Sunday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Pacers vs. Cavs prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Sunday's NBA game between the Pacers and Cavaliers, forming part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model gives the Cavaliers an 87% chance of defeating the Pacers. Our predicted final score has the Cavaliers winning 125-111.
According to our model, the Pacers (+15.5) have a 58% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 238.5 points has a 54% chance of staying under.
Pacers vs. Cavaliers odds
We have researched the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Pacers | Cavaliers |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +15.5 (-106) | -15.5 (-110) |
| Moneyline | +900 | -1400 |
| Total | o238.5 (-112) | u238.5 (-108) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Pacers vs. Cavaliers picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Pacers +15.5 | -106 |
| Moneyline | Pacers | +900 |
| Total | Under 238.5 | -108 |
According to our best NBA bets for Sunday, the top play to make on this game is Pacers +15.5 at the spread.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Pacers vs. Cavaliers player props
Looking for Indiana vs. Cleveland NBA player props? We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Rocket Arena.
Jarace Walker is expected to lead the Pacers with 15 points, 5 rebounds and 3 assists, while Donovan Mitchell is projected to have 27 points, 5 rebounds and 6 assists for the Cavaliers.
Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.
Pacers prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Pacers are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jarace Walker | 15 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 31 |
| Quenton Jackson | 13 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 26 |
| Kobe Brown | 11 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 24 |
| Jay Huff | 11 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 24 |
| Obi Toppin | 10 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 20 |
Cavaliers prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Cavaliers:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Mitchell | 27 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 47 |
| James Harden | 22 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 46 |
| Max Strus | 14 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 29 |
| Thomas Bryant | 13 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 29 |
| Dennis Schroder | 10 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 22 |
Pacers vs. Cavs game-day updates and essential details
Sunday's action between the Cavaliers and Pacers at Rocket Arena is scheduled to start at 6:00 PM ET.
- Who: Indiana Pacers vs. Cleveland Cavaliers
- Date: Sunday, April 5, 2026
- Time: 6:00 PM ET/3:00PM PT
- Venue: Rocket Arena
Conclusion
We predict the Cavaliers, with an 87% win probability, will likely beat the Pacers on Sunday, with Donovan Mitchell projected for a game-high 47 fantasy points.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Pacers vs. Cavaliers insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our responsible gambling hub.
Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.
Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
Advertiser disclosure