Dolphins vs. Chargers Week 14 Prediction and Odds - Dec 11, 2022
Last updated: | Published:NFL Week 14 action continues on Sunday at 8:20PM ET as the Miami Dolphins square off with the Los Angeles Chargers at SoFi Stadium.
Dimers' best betting picks for Dolphins vs. Chargers, plus game predictions, betting odds and projected player stats, are detailed below.
Who will win Dolphins vs. Chargers?
Using high-tech computer power and data, Dimers.com has simulated Sunday's Dolphins-Chargers NFL matchup 10,000 times.
Dimers' leading predictive analytics model, DimersBOT, gives the Dolphins a 58% chance of getting the W against the Chargers in Week 14 of the NFL season.
More: Dolphins vs. Chargers Simulated 10,000 Times
Dolphins vs. Chargers Game Odds
- Spread: Chargers +3.5 (-120), Dolphins -3.5 (-102)
- Moneyline: Chargers +150, Dolphins -165
- Total: Over/Under 54 (-115/-105)
Point Spread, Moneyline and Over/Under
The Chargers are currently +3.5 underdogs versus the Dolphins, with -120 at FanDuel Sportsbook the best odds currently available.
For the favored Dolphins (-3.5) to cover the spread, FanDuel Sportsbook also has the best odds currently on offer at -102.
DraftKings Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Chargers at +150, which means you can bet $100 to profit $150, earning a total payout of $250, if they win.
Meanwhile, BetMGM currently has the best moneyline odds for the Dolphins at -165, where you can risk $165 to win $100, for a total payout of $265, if they come out on top.
The Over/Under for total points scored is set at 54 with BetMGM, which currently has the best odds for the Over at -115, as well as the best odds for the Under at -105.
As always, make sure you check all of the legal sportbooks available in your state for the best NFL odds and lines.
According to DimersBOT, the Chargers (+3.5) are a 56% chance of covering the spread, while the 54-point Over/Under is a 52% chance of going Over.
More: Predictions for Every NFL Week 14 Matchup
Best Bets for Dolphins vs. Chargers
- Spread: Chargers +3.5 @ -120 via FanDuel Sportsbook (56% probability)
- Moneyline: Chargers @ +150 via DraftKings Sportsbook (1.7% edge)
- Total: Over 54 @ -115 via BetMGM (52% probability)
Dimers' best bets are based on complex simulations and wagering expertise to bring you the best possible plays every day of the year.
While the Dolphins are more likely to win the game, according to DimersBOT, betting on the Chargers moneyline is the best option due to the 1.7% edge identified when comparing our data-led probabilities to the sportsbooks' odds currently on offer.
Taking advantage of the edges seen here at Dimers is one of the keys to being a profitable bettor in the long run.
Dolphins vs. Chargers Prediction
Dimers.com's predicted final score for Miami vs. LA Chargers at SoFi Stadium in Week 14 has the Dolphins winning 28-26.
Click or tap on See Matchup for more.
Dimers has full coverage of this week's Dolphins-Chargers matchup in Week 14, including pregame predictions, computer picks, and live scores.
Dolphins vs. Chargers Player Props
Who will score the first touchdown in Dolphins vs. Chargers? The latest data is in.
Listed below are the most likely first touchdown and most likely anytime touchdown scorers for both the Dolphins and Chargers, as well as player stat projections.
And you know what, we provide this information to you for FREE to help you discover the best prop picks for Sunday's game.
According to DimersBOT, Los Angeles' Austin Ekeler is most likely to score the first touchdown in Dolphins vs. Chargers.
DimersBOT gives Ekeler a 12.0% chance of scoring the first TD at SoFi Stadium, while the Chargers RB is a 56.8% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.
Scroll down for the full list of first and anytime TD scorer probabilities.
First Touchdown Scorer Probabilities
Miami Dolphins
- Tyreek Hill: 11.8% probability
- Jeff Wilson: 9.2% probability
- Jaylen Waddle: 7.6% probability
- Raheem Mostert: 7.5% probability
- Trent Sherfield: 4.6% probability
Los Angeles Chargers
- Austin Ekeler: 12.0% probability
- Keenan Allen: 8.6% probability
- Mike Williams: 6.6% probability
- Gerald Everett: 5.2% probability
- Justin Herbert: 3.6% probability
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Probabilities
Miami Dolphins
- Tyreek Hill: 54.1% probability
- Jeff Wilson: 45.5% probability
- Raheem Mostert: 38.3% probability
- Jaylen Waddle: 38.3% probability
- Trent Sherfield: 24.3% probability
Los Angeles Chargers
- Austin Ekeler: 56.8% probability
- Keenan Allen: 43.4% probability
- Mike Williams: 34.8% probability
- Gerald Everett: 29.5% probability
- Justin Herbert: 20.4% probability
Dolphins-Chargers Projected Player Stats
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Dolphins' Tua Tagovailoa is projected to have a big game with 298 passing yards, while the Chargers' Justin Herbert is expected to throw for a whopping 312 yards.
Dolphins Starting QB
- Tua Tagovailoa: 298 projected yards
Chargers Starting QB
- Justin Herbert: 312 projected yards
Dolphins Rushing
- Jeff Wilson: 52 projected yards
- Raheem Mostert: 45 projected yards
- Tua Tagovailoa: 9 projected yards
Chargers Rushing
- Austin Ekeler: 59 projected yards
- Joshua Kelley: 19 projected yards
- Justin Herbert: 11 projected yards
Dolphins Receiving
- Tyreek Hill: 98 projected yards
- Jaylen Waddle: 69 projected yards
- Mike Gesicki: 21 projected yards
- Jeff Wilson: 20 projected yards
- Trent Sherfield: 20 projected yards
Chargers Receiving
- Mike Williams: 62 projected yards
- Keenan Allen: 61 projected yards
- Austin Ekeler: 51 projected yards
- DeAndre Carter: 38 projected yards
- Joshua Palmer: 38 projected yards
Remember, DimersBOT updates frequently, so check this page for the latest betting insights before Dolphins vs. Chargers on Sunday December 11, 2022.
Dolphins vs. Chargers 2022
The NFL Week 14 action between the Chargers and Dolphins at SoFi Stadium is scheduled to commence at 8:20PM ET.
- Who: Miami Dolphins vs. Los Angeles Chargers
- Date: Sunday December 11, 2022
- Time: 8:20PM ET / 5:20PM PT
- Venue: SoFi Stadium
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