Dallas Mavericks vs. Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction, Odds, NBA Picks [12/28/2023]

Dallas Mavericks vs. Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction, Odds, NBA Picks  [12/28/2023]

The Minnesota Timberwolves and Dallas Mavericks will lock horns in NBA action at Target Center on Thursday, with tipoff at 8:00PM ET.

Dimers.com's full betting preview for Thursday's Mavericks vs. Timberwolves matchup includes the latest betting odds, as well as our predictions and picks for the game.

Mavericks vs. Timberwolves Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Spread

We have used trusted machine learning and data to simulate the result of Thursday's NBA game between the Mavericks and Timberwolves 10,000 times, in keeping with our coverage of NBA predictions.

Our proven predictive analytics model gives the Timberwolves an 82% chance of beating the Mavericks, and our predicted final score has the Timberwolves winning 118-107.

According to our model, the Mavericks (+12) have a 55% chance of covering the spread, while the 228-point Over/Under has a 53% chance of going under.

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Mavericks vs. Timberwolves Odds

We have sourced the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Mavericks Timberwolves
Spread +12 (-108) -12 (-110)
Moneyline +500 -650
Total o228 (-114) u228 (-105)
  • The Timberwolves are currently -12 favorites against the Mavericks, with -110 at DraftKings Sportsbook the best odds currently available.
  • For the underdog Mavericks (+12) to cover the spread, FanDuel Sportsbook has the best odds currently on the market at -108.
  • DraftKings currently has the best moneyline odds for the Timberwolves at -650. That means you can risk $650 to win $100 for a total payout of $750 if they get the W.
  • On the other hand, BetMGM Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Mavericks at +500, where you can bet $100 to profit $500, earning a total payout of $600 if they win.
  • The Over/Under for total points scored is set at 228 with FanDuel, which currently has the best odds for the Over at -114, while DraftKings currently has the best odds for the Under at -105.

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

As always, check out the sportsbooks you have access to in your state for the best NBA odds and lines.

Mavericks vs. Timberwolves Picks

By comparing our probabilities to the odds listed above, we have found the best betting picks to make on this game:

Bet Type Our Pick Best Odds
Spread Mavericks +12 -108
Moneyline Mavericks +500
Total Under 228 -105


While the Timberwolves are more likely to win the game, taking the Mavericks moneyline is the best option because of the 1.5% edge found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the betting odds currently available.

Taking advantage of the edges published here at Dimers is one of the keys to achieving long-term profitability as a sports bettor.

Dimers' NBA best bets are based on detailed modeling and betting expertise to serve you the best possible plays every time.

Mavericks vs. Timberwolves Player Props

Betting on Dallas vs. Minnesota NBA prop bets? We have crunched the numbers to project individual points, assists, rebounds and three-pointers for each team.

Tim Hardaway is expected to lead the Mavericks with 18 points, 5 rebounds and 2 assists, while Anthony Edwards is projected to finish with 25 points, 6 rebounds and 5 assists for the Timberwolves.

Mavericks Prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Mavericks:

Tim Hardaway 18 5 2 3
Dante Exum 15 5 4 1
Derrick Jones 13 5 1 2
Jaden Hardy 12 3 2 2
Dereck Lively 11 8 2 0

Timberwolves Prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers for the Timberwolves:

Anthony Edwards 25 6 5 3
Karl-Anthony Towns 20 8 3 2
Jaden McDaniels 16 4 2 2
Naz Reid 16 5 1 3
Rudy Gobert 13 11 2 0

For more help with your NBA prop betting, check out the best NBA betting trends for today's games.

Don't forget, our model updates frequently, so check this article for the latest betting analysis before the Mavericks vs. Timberwolves on Thursday December 28, 2023.

Mavericks vs. Timberwolves Game Information

Thursday's matchup between the Timberwolves and Mavericks at Target Center is scheduled to commence at 8:00PM ET.


Our full betting coverage of Mavericks vs. Timberwolves includes pregame predictions, betting picks, and live win probabilities.

How to Bet on Mavericks vs. Timberwolves

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Calling Our Shot 🏀 Free Picks

Calling Our Shot produces daily NBA betting content, including the latest best bets featured below.


This preview article has been partially generated using automated processes and AI technology. Our goal is to provide timely and accurate updates on Thursday's Mavericks vs. Timberwolves contest, and automation assists in data collection, analysis, and formatting. Human editing and quality control are performed to ensure the content meets our editorial standards.

Dimers' picks are made after 10,000 simulations per game, using reliable and up-to-date data sources and analytical methods. While these Mavericks vs. Timberwolves predictions can help you make informed decisions, it's crucial that you gamble responsibly and manage your bankroll effectively.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that leads to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may get a referral fee at no additional cost to you.

More on NBA

Stay up-to-date with the most recent NBA betting news and our data-led NBA picks and parlays all season long. Plus, our NBA championship odds give you the latest projections and the best available odds on the NBA title, as well as the Eastern and Western conferences.

Kevin Hansen
Senior Sports Analyst

Kevin Hansen specializes in NFL, NBA, MLB, and NHL content, using data-driven insights for sports betting. He provides simple, actionable betting tips to help bettors find an edge and pick winners.

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