Dallas Mavericks vs. Houston Rockets Prediction, Odds, NBA Picks [12/22/2023]

Dallas Mavericks vs. Houston Rockets Prediction, Odds, NBA Picks  [12/22/2023]

The Houston Rockets will face the Dallas Mavericks in NBA action at Toyota Center on Friday, beginning at 8:00PM ET.

Dimers.com's comprehensive betting preview for Friday's Mavericks vs. Rockets matchup includes the latest betting odds, as well as our predictions and picks for the game.

Mavericks vs. Rockets Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Spread

We have used advanced machine learning and statistical analysis to simulate the outcome of Friday's NBA game between the Mavericks and Rockets 10,000 times, in keeping with our coverage of NBA predictions.

Our proven predictive analytics model currently gives the Rockets a 74% chance of beating the Mavericks, and our predicted final score has the Rockets winning 114-107.

According to our model, the Mavericks (+8.5) have a 53% chance of covering the spread, while the 222.5-point Over/Under has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.

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Mavericks vs. Rockets Odds

We have researched the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Mavericks Rockets
Spread +8.5 (-110) -8.5 (-110)
Moneyline +280 -340
Total o222.5 (-110) u222.5 (-110)
  • The Rockets are listed as -8.5 favorites versus the Mavericks, with -110 at BetMGM Sportsbook the best odds currently available.
  • For the underdog Mavericks (+8.5) to cover the spread, BetMGM also has the best odds currently on offer at -110.
  • FanDuel Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Rockets at -340, which means you can risk $340 to win $100 for a total payout of $440 if they get the W.
  • On the other hand, DraftKings Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Mavericks at +280, where you can bet $100 to profit $280, earning a total payout of $380 if they win.
  • The Over/Under for total points scored is set at 222.5 with BetMGM, which currently has the best odds for the Over at -110, as well as the best odds for the Under at -110.

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

As always, check out all the sportsbooks available in your state for the best NBA odds and lines.

Mavericks vs. Rockets Picks

By comparing our predictions to the odds listed above, we have found the best betting picks for this game:

Bet Type Our Pick Best Odds
Spread Mavericks +8.5 -110
Moneyline Mavericks +280
Total Under 222.5 -110


While the Rockets are more likely to win the game, taking the Mavericks moneyline is the best option due to the edge found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the betting odds currently on offer.

Taking advantage of the edges seen here at Dimers is crucial to achieving long-term profitability as a sports bettor.

Dimers' NBA best bets are based on world-class simulations and gambling intelligence to bring you the best possible plays every day of the year.

Mavericks vs. Rockets Player Props

NBA player props are an exciting way to wager on the Dallas vs. Houston game without necessarily betting on the outcome.

We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Toyota Center.

Tim Hardaway is expected to step up for the Mavericks with 19 points, 4 rebounds and 2 assists, while Jabari Smith is projected to finish with 19 points, 9 rebounds and 2 assists for the Rockets.

Mavericks Prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Mavericks:

Tim Hardaway 19 4 2 4
Jaden Hardy 17 4 3 3
Derrick Jones 13 4 1 2
Seth Curry 11 2 2 2
Grant Williams 10 4 2 2

Rockets Prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers for the Rockets:

Jabari Smith 19 9 2 2
Alperen Sengun 19 10 5 1
Fred VanVleet 18 4 10 3
Jalen Green 18 4 3 2
Dillon Brooks 14 4 2 2

For more help with your NBA prop betting, check out the best NBA betting trends for today's games.

Remember, our model updates often, so keep checking this article for any changes to our betting analysis ahead of the Mavericks vs. Rockets on Friday December 22, 2023.

Mavericks vs. Rockets Game Information

Friday's action between the Rockets and Mavericks at Toyota Center is scheduled to commence at 8:00PM ET.


Our full coverage of Mavericks vs. Rockets includes pregame predictions, betting picks, and live win probabilities.

How to Bet on Mavericks vs. Rockets

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This preview article has been partially generated using automated processes and AI technology. Our goal is to provide timely and accurate updates on Friday's Mavericks vs. Rockets game, and automation assists in data collection, analysis, and formatting. Human editing and quality control are performed to ensure the content meets our editorial standards.

Dimers' picks are made after 10,000 simulations per game, using reliable and up-to-date data sources and analytical methods. While these Mavericks vs. Rockets picks can help you make informed decisions, it's vital that you gamble responsibly and manage your bankroll effectively.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that leads to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee at no additional cost to you.

More on NBA

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Kevin Hansen
Senior Sports Analyst

Kevin Hansen has a track record of delivering high-quality content. He writes about all sports, but his favorites are the NFL, NBA, MLB, and NHL. Kevin enjoys crunching the numbers and using data-driven insights to take on the sportsbooks. The majority of Kevin's time is spent writing about sports betting. His love for data and analytics drove him into the world of sports betting. Finding an edge in sports betting can take a long time, but Kevin believes it is well worth the effort. Kevin is just as passionate about sports as you are, and he empowers fellow bettors to become more educated through simple, actionable betting tips. It can be difficult to navigate the world of sports betting, which is where Kevin comes in to make it as simple as possible for you to pick a winner.

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