Cubs @ Reds: Predictions, picks and bets

By

August 30, 2020 5:28 AM

The Cubs and Reds close out their series Sunday with Cincinnati in pole position to claim a 3 games to 1 win.

The two teams split a doubleheader on Saturday with Yu Darvish’s stellar form for the Cubs once again on display in Game 1. Can the Cubs win without him on Sunday? If you're in Illinois, get up to $250 Bonus Match on your First Deposit with BetRivers. Use code 250MATCH.

 

Here are our best plays:

 


Dimers' Suggested Plays
🔥BEST: Under/Over: o9 runs (-121*)
💵Moneyline: Cubs  (+134*)
🏃Run line: Cubs +1.5 (-150*)
🚨 Best online sportsbooks here

 

BEST
o9 runs (-121*) has a 53% chance of going over

Just like the moneyline result from yesterday, both games of the doubleheader were split evenly when it comes to the over/under market as well. Nobody can score against Darvish right now, but with him removed, the runs were flowing in Game 2.

Tyler Chatwood is due to start on the mound for the Cubs who is sporting a 6.06 ERA, giving up 20 hits in his 16 innings pitched so far this season Our model suggests there isn’t enough quality in those starters to keep the offenses in check.

Moneyline
Cubs H2H (+134*) has a 1.6% edge over the sportsbooks

Luis Castillo is 0-4 in starts this season for Cincinnati. Our DimersBOT thinks the underdog Cubs are great value coming up against a pitcher down on his luck with one of the worst records in the league thus far in the season.

Run line
Cubs +1.5 (-150*) has a 59% chance of covering the run line

As above, starting pitchers are everything in baseball, and if the Cubs can skip out to an early lead we doubt the Reds will be able to reel them back in.

Dimers' take-out

We expect this series to be evened up Sunday. Take the dogs Chicago to end the weekend on a winning note.

 

*odds are correct at time of publishing