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Cavaliers vs. Grizzlies prediction: Why Cleveland is favored to win Monday's NBA matchup [4/6/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Cleveland Cavaliers vs Memphis Grizzlies predictions for NBA Monday.
NBA action continues on Monday at 8:00 PM ET as the Cleveland Cavaliers square off with the Memphis Grizzlies at FedExForum.
Based on the latest simulation results and today’s injury reports, Dimers' advanced NBA model predicts the Cavaliers as the most likely winner of the Cavaliers vs. Grizzlies game.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Grizzlies lineup will feature players like GG Jackson, Dariq Whitehead and Cedric Coward, while the Cavaliers will be led by Evan Mobley, Sam Merrill and Jarrett Allen.
This article offers further insights into Monday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Cavs vs. Grizzlies prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Monday's NBA game between the Cavaliers and Grizzlies, forming part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model gives the Cavaliers an 83% chance of beating the Grizzlies. Our predicted final score has the Cavaliers winning 120-109.
According to our model, the Grizzlies (+13.5) have a 56% chance of covering the spread, while the 231.5-point over/under has a 54% chance of staying under.
Cavaliers vs. Grizzlies odds
We have researched the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Cavaliers | Grizzlies |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -13.5 (-105) | +13.5 (-110) |
| Moneyline | -950 | +675 |
| Total | o231.5 (-105) | u231.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Cavaliers vs. Grizzlies picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Grizzlies +13.5 | -110 |
| Moneyline | Grizzlies | +675 |
| Total | Under 231.5 | -110 |
According to our best NBA bets for Monday, the top play to make on this game is Grizzlies to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Cavaliers vs. Grizzlies player props
NBA prop bets are an enjoyable way to wager on the Cleveland vs. Memphis matchup without necessarily betting on the outcome. We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at FedExForum.
Evan Mobley is expected to lead the Cavaliers with 21 points, 9 rebounds and 4 assists, while GG Jackson is projected to have 16 points, 5 rebounds and 2 assists for the Grizzlies.
Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.
Cavaliers prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Cavaliers are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evan Mobley | 21 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 46 |
| Sam Merrill | 17 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 31 |
| Jarrett Allen | 16 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 34 |
| Dennis Schroder | 12 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 29 |
| Keon Ellis | 11 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 26 |
Grizzlies prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Grizzlies:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GG Jackson | 16 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 30 |
| Dariq Whitehead | 13 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 24 |
| Cedric Coward | 13 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 28 |
| O. Prosper | 12 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 22 |
| Walter Clayton | 10 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 25 |
Cavs vs. Grizzlies game-day updates and essential details
Monday's matchup between the Grizzlies and Cavaliers at FedExForum is scheduled to commence at 8:00 PM ET.
- Who: Cleveland Cavaliers vs. Memphis Grizzlies
- Date: Monday, April 6, 2026
- Time: 8:00 PM ET/5:00PM PT
- Venue: FedExForum
Conclusion
We predict the Cavaliers, with an 83% win probability, will likely beat the Grizzlies on Monday, with Evan Mobley projected for a game-high 46 fantasy points.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Cavaliers vs. Grizzlies insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our responsible gambling hub.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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