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Cavaliers vs. Mavericks prediction: Cleveland to win, Donovan Mitchell projected for big game in Friday's NBA matchup [3/13/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Cleveland Cavaliers vs Dallas Mavericks predictions for NBA Friday.
The Dallas Mavericks will face the favored Cleveland Cavaliers in NBA action at American Airlines Center on Friday, commencing at 7:30 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulations and today’s injury reports, Dimers' advanced NBA model predicts the Cavaliers as the most likely winner of the Cavaliers vs. Mavericks game.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Mavericks lineup will feature players like Cooper Flagg, Brandon Williams and Naji Marshall, while the Cavaliers will look to Donovan Mitchell, James Harden and Evan Mobley.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Friday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Cavs vs. Mavs prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Friday's NBA matchup between the Cavaliers and Mavericks 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model gives the Cavaliers an 85% chance of defeating the Mavericks. Our predicted final score has the Cavaliers winning 123-111.
According to our model, the Mavericks (+13.5) have a 57% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 236.5 points has a 54% chance of staying under.
Cavaliers vs. Mavericks odds
We have researched the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Cavaliers | Mavericks |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -13.5 (-110) | +13.5 (-105) |
| Moneyline | -750 | +570 |
| Total | o236.5 (-108) | u236.5 (-105) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Cavaliers vs. Mavericks picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Mavericks +13.5 | -105 |
| Moneyline | Mavericks | +570 |
| Total | Under 236.5 | -105 |
According to our best NBA bets for Friday, the top play to make on this game is Mavericks +13.5 at the spread.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Cavaliers vs. Mavericks player props
Betting on Cleveland vs. Dallas NBA player props? We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at American Airlines Center.
Donovan Mitchell is expected to lead the Cavaliers with 27 points, 5 rebounds and 6 assists, while Cooper Flagg is projected to have 20 points, 6 rebounds and 4 assists for the Mavericks.
Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.
Cavaliers prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Cavaliers are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Mitchell | 27 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 48 |
| James Harden | 23 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 47 |
| Evan Mobley | 18 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 43 |
| Sam Merrill | 13 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 24 |
| Jaylon Tyson | 11 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 22 |
Mavericks prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Mavericks:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cooper Flagg | 20 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 39 |
| B. Williams | 16 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 30 |
| Naji Marshall | 16 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 31 |
| Marvin Bagley | 14 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 29 |
| Klay Thompson | 13 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 22 |
Cavs vs. Mavs game-day updates and essential details
Friday's game between the Mavericks and Cavaliers at American Airlines Center is scheduled to commence at 7:30 PM ET.
- Who: Cleveland Cavaliers vs. Dallas Mavericks
- Date: Friday, March 13, 2026
- Time: 7:30 PM ET/4:30PM PT
- Venue: American Airlines Center
Conclusion
We predict the Cavaliers, with an 85% win probability, will likely beat the Mavericks on Friday, with Donovan Mitchell projected for a game-high 48 fantasy points.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Cavaliers vs. Mavericks insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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