Chiefs vs. Broncos Week 14 Prediction and Odds - Dec 11, 2022

The Denver Broncos face the favored Kansas City Chiefs in NFL Week 14 action at Empower Field at Mile High on Sunday, starting at 4:05PM ET.

Dimers' best betting picks for Chiefs vs. Broncos, as well as our score prediction, betting odds and touchdown scorer probabilities, are featured below.

Who will win Chiefs vs. Broncos?

Using state-of-the-art machine learning and data, Dimers.com has simulated Sunday's Chiefs-Broncos NFL matchup 10,000 times.

Dimers' leading predictive analytics model, DimersBOT, currently gives the Chiefs a 79% chance of defeating the Broncos in Week 14 of the NFL season.

More: Full Betting Analysis for Chiefs vs. Broncos

Chiefs vs. Broncos Game Odds

• Spread: Broncos +9 (-107), Chiefs -9 (-107)
• Moneyline: Broncos +350, Chiefs -375
• Total: Over/Under 44.5 (-105/-115)

Point Spread, Moneyline and Over/Under

The Broncos are +9 underdogs versus the Chiefs, with -107 at PointsBet the best odds currently available.

For the favored Chiefs (-9) to cover the spread, PointsBet also has the best odds currently on offer at -107.

DraftKings Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Broncos at +350. That means you can throw down $100 to profit $350, earning a total payout of $450, if they win.

On the other hand, PointsBet currently has the best moneyline odds for the Chiefs at -375, where you can risk $375 to win $100, for a total payout of $475, if they come out on top.

The Over/Under for total points scored is set at 44.5 with FanDuel Sportsbook, which currently has the best odds for the Over at -105, as well as the best odds for the Under at -115.

As always, make sure you check the sportsbooks you have access to in your state for the best NFL odds and lines.

According to DimersBOT, the Broncos (+9) are a 52% chance of covering the spread, while the Over/Under total of 44.5 points is a 52% chance of going Under.

More: Free Prop Picks

Best Bets for Chiefs vs. Broncos

• Spread: Broncos +9 @ -107 via PointsBet (52% probability)
• Moneyline: Chiefs @ -375 via PointsBet (79% probability)
• Total: Under 44.5 @ -115 via FanDuel Sportsbook (52% probability)

Our best bets are based on complex modeling and wagering intelligence to help you make smarter investments with your state's legal sportsbooks.

Chiefs vs. Broncos Prediction

Dimers.com's predicted final score for Kansas City vs. Denver at Empower Field at Mile High in Week 14 has the Chiefs winning 26-17.

Click or tap on See Matchup for more.

Dimers has full betting coverage of this week's Chiefs-Broncos matchup in Week 14, including pregame predictions, top betting picks, and live win probabilities.

Chiefs vs. Broncos Player Props

Who will score the first touchdown in Chiefs vs. Broncos? The data is in.

Listed below are the most likely first touchdown and most likely anytime touchdown scorers for both the Chiefs and Broncos, as well as player stat projections.

And you know what, we provide this information to you for FREE to help you choose the best prop picks for Sunday's game.

According to DimersBOT, Kansas City's Travis Kelce is most likely to score the first touchdown in Chiefs vs. Broncos.

DimersBOT gives Kelce a 17.5% chance of getting in for six first at Empower Field at Mile High, while the Chiefs TE is a 61.9% chance of reaching the end zone at any point during the game.

Scroll down for our full list of first and anytime TD scorer probabilities.

First Touchdown Scorer Probabilities

Kansas City Chiefs

• Travis Kelce: 17.5% probability
• Isiah Pacheco: 10.3% probability
• Jerick McKinnon: 7.2% probability
• JuJu Smith-Schuster: 5.3% probability
• Marquez Valdes-Scantling: 4.9% probability

Denver Broncos

• Latavius Murray: 7.3% probability
• Jerry Jeudy: 6.4% probability
• Greg Dulcich: 6.2% probability
• Mike Boone: 4.7% probability
• Kendall Hinton: 3.8% probability

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Probabilities

Kansas City Chiefs

• Travis Kelce: 61.9% probability
• Isiah Pacheco: 41.5% probability
• Jerick McKinnon: 32.0% probability
• JuJu Smith-Schuster: 23.7% probability
• Marquez Valdes-Scantling: 21.8% probability

Denver Broncos

• Latavius Murray: 32.2% probability
• Jerry Jeudy: 28.6% probability
• Greg Dulcich: 27.6% probability
• Mike Boone: 21.5% probability
• Kendall Hinton: 18.1% probability

Chiefs-Broncos Projected Player Stats

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Chiefs' Patrick Mahomes is projected to have a big game with 287 passing yards, while the Broncos' Russell Wilson is expected to throw for 260 yards.

Chiefs Starting QB

• Patrick Mahomes: 287 projected yards

Broncos Starting QB

• Russell Wilson: 260 projected yards

Chiefs Rushing

• Isiah Pacheco: 74 projected yards
• Patrick Mahomes: 28 projected yards
• Jerick McKinnon: 23 projected yards

Broncos Rushing

• Latavius Murray: 62 projected yards
• Mike Boone: 44 projected yards
• Russell Wilson: 14 projected yards

Chiefs Receiving

• Travis Kelce: 85 projected yards
• JuJu Smith-Schuster: 58 projected yards
• Jerick McKinnon: 31 projected yards
• Marquez Valdes-Scantling: 31 projected yards
• Skyy Moore: 30 projected yards

Broncos Receiving

• Jerry Jeudy: 57 projected yards
• Kendall Hinton: 49 projected yards
• Greg Dulcich: 49 projected yards
• Brandon Johnson: 24 projected yards
• Latavius Murray: 15 projected yards

Remember, DimersBOT updates often, so refresh this article for any changes to our betting analysis ahead of Chiefs vs. Broncos on Sunday December 11, 2022.

Chiefs vs. Broncos 2022

The NFL Week 14 matchup between the Broncos and Chiefs at Empower Field at Mile High is scheduled to begin at 4:05PM ET.

• Who: Kansas City Chiefs vs. Denver Broncos
• Date: Sunday December 11, 2022
• Time: 4:05PM ET / 1:05PM PT
• Venue: Empower Field at Mile High

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