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Champions League Final Predictions and Picks: Real Madrid vs. Borussia Dortmund

Champions League Final Predictions and Picks: Real Madrid vs. Borussia Dortmund

The odds for a title match in a major tournament seldom appear as one-sided as this.

As the UEFA Champions League Final approaches this Saturday at Wembley Stadium, the betting numbers from the best US sportsbooks paint a lopsided picture. Real Madrid is heavily favored at -157, while Borussia Dortmund stands at +420. A draw is set at +320.


Bettors are clearly considering Real Madrid’s illustrious history. Los Blancos are vying for an unprecedented 15th Champions League title, having secured five of these — all undefeated — in the last decade. With eight consecutive final wins since 1981, their record is formidable.

Borussia Dortmund, on the other hand, has defied expectations to reach its third final. The underdogs have split their previous appearances, winning in 1997.

Real Madrid's superior talent gives them the edge, but Dortmund will aim to leverage its trademark high intensity to pull off an upset. Notably, Dortmund leads the Champions League in tackles and ball recoveries.

A shutout victory for Dortmund will be tough, as Real Madrid has scored in all but one of its past 30 Champions League matches. Los Blancos are unbeaten in their dozen matches this season, while Dortmund has only one loss.

The total goals scored is set at 2.5. However, those betting on the Over will have to pay a premium at -148, whereas the Under is priced at +118.

While Real Madrid's form appears impressive on paper, they've also benefitted from plenty of luck along the way - much like they did during their successful 2021 campaign. That year they secured a 1-0 win against a Liverpool team that many believed were the far better team on the day.

As such, we think the odds on offer for Real Madrid are far too short and present a big opportunity at the other end.

Best Bet: Borussia Dortmund money line (+420)


Nick Slade
Chief Content Officer

Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience as a sports and betting expert, serves as the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, where he steers the editorial and digital content strategy for leading platforms like Dimers.com, Stats Insider and Gambling Today. Specializing in soccer, Nick brings a global perspective to his coverage of the sport, including detailed analyses of MLS games. He also contributes to NHL content through game previews, best bets, and props, and lends his expertise to crafting NBA first basket betting content. 

With a robust background as a journalist and broadcaster, Nick has been a trusted voice on major networks and channels such as Fox Sports, WCBV-TV Boston, ESPN, ABC, and others. His profound understanding of sports and betting dynamics has made him a sought-after authority in the wagering and gambling industries.

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