Carlos Alcaraz vs. Adam Walton prediction, odds, picks for 2026 Australian Open

Carlos Alcaraz will square off with Adam Walton in the first round of the 2026 Australian Open on Sunday.

Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven tennis model predicts Carlos Alcaraz as the most likely winner of the Alcaraz vs. Walton match.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Sunday's match, including best bets and picks.

Alcaraz vs. Walton prediction: Who will win and advance to the second round?

Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Sunday's Alcaraz-Walton men's singles match 10,000 times as part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently gives Alcaraz a 99% chance of winning against Walton in the 2026 Australian Open.

Additionally, Alcaraz has a 96% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Alcaraz (-9.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the under 27.5 games has a 67% chance of hitting**, according to our model.

Carlos Alcaraz vs. Adam Walton odds

We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Alcaraz vs. Walton picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below: