Bucks vs. Heat Game One: Predictions, picks and bets


August 31, 2020 2:21 PM

Another second round series gets underway today with one of the title favorites the Bucks (+300) taking on the hottest dark horse pick in Miami Heat (+2500).

The Heat managed to sweep their way past the Indiana Pacers, whilst the Bucks came away 4-1 winners after dropping their opening game to the Magic.

Will the Bucks show why they’re the favorites or will the Heat continue their unbeaten playoffs run? NBA Bet Hub predictions below 👇

Dimers' predictions are based on 10,000 simulations of this particular matchup


Dimers' Suggested Plays

🔥 BEST: Bucks ML (-215*)
💪 Spread: Heat +5.0
💵 Over/under: u223 total points
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BEST: Moneyline

Bucks to win has a 67% probability

Milwaukee won’t want to get off to a slow start again in this series, with the Heat much more likely than the Magic to capitalize on a 1-0 lead. After they looked to click into gear late in the last series, our model has the Bucks at a massive 67% chance of getting the W in the opener here.


Heat +5.0 has a 53% probability

The Heat will fancy their chances coming into this one and despite the strength of the Bucks, this shouldn't be a blowout by any stretch. Our model has the Bucks likely to cover the spread.


u223 total points has a 51% probability

Two extremely strong defenses, highlighted by recently announced DPOY, Giannis Antetokounmpo and Most Improved candidate, Bam Adebayo.

Dimers' take-out

What promises to be one of the most exciting series’ of the postseason so far gets underway with this one. Our model has the Bucks being simply too strong for the Heat in what should be a tough and tight game one. If you're keen to play, you can review the best legal online sportsbooks in your area, here.


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*odds are correct at time of publishing