We've got a six-game slate of NBA basketball ahead of us and as always we've done the hard work and found the best prop plays so that you don't have to.
So how do our player prop picks work exactly?
Well, our predictive analytics model has crunched the numbers ahead of tonight's games, giving us the likely stats projections which we've matched up against the sportsbook lines to find the biggest differential and edge for you to make a play on. While this article contains the best edges that we've found against the books, you can run this exercise yourself by looking in the Pre-Game Predictions tab of the game of your choice in the NBA Bet Hub.
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It's Tuesday, April 27. Here is what the data is telling us for tonight's NBA player props ⏬
PLAYER: Khris Middleton
BET: 🔥 OVER 18.5 points with PointsBet (-104)
The Hornets give up more 3-point attempts to the opposition than anyone. So Middleton, who averages 5.1 3PA per game, will have little trouble getting off enough shots to go Over his points total on this one, it just comes down to the matter of accuracy. At 43% on the season from three, we like this one a lot.
As a side note, Middleton is +360 to score 4+ threes. Think about it.
PLAYER: Jaylen Brown
BET: 🔥 UNDER 26.5 points with FanDuel Sportsbook (-116)
The Celts will be without Tatum and Walker, but even so, this total seems a little high for Brown considering the emphasis Brad Stevens puts on Boston being a team that distributes the wealth on nights like these. Look for the points to be shared around between Brown, Smart, Fournier and others. Also be mindful of the blowout factor against the Thunder, reducing the overall minutes the Boston guard plays.
PLAYER: Kyrie Irving
BET: 🔥 OVER 26.5 points with PointsBet (-112)
Irving will continue to lead the offense for the Nets as Steve Nash nurses Kevin Durant back to full health. Our projections has the former No. 1 pick scoring 28 and going over his total.
PLAYER: Steph Curry
BET: 🔥 To score 35+ points BetMGM (+104)
We had some success with this very bet on Sunday night and our projections are giving us the green light again to take Curry to score 35+ again against the Mavs. This one will be tight between two pretty evenly matched teams. Expect a lot of minutes played and a lot of shots from the Chef.
🔥 Middleton o18.5 points
🔥 Brown u26.5 points
🔥 Irving o26.5 points
🔥 Curry to score 35+
💰 Parlay with FanDuel Sportsbook (+1310)