A new day of NBA basketball is upon us and we are back with our daily prop players to finish off the week on a high note.
So how do our player prop picks work exactly?
Well, our predictive analytics model has crunched the numbers ahead of tonight's games, giving us the likely stats projections which we've matched up against the sportsbook lines to find the biggest differential and edge for you to make a play on. While this article contains the best edges that we've found against the books, you can run this exercise yourself by looking in the Pre-Game Predictions tab of the game of your choice in the NBA Bet Hub.
With NBA betting picks, probabilities, odds and predicted scores featured each and every day, check out our top NBA player prop picks for tonight's games.
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It's Sunday, May 2. Here is what the data is telling us for tonight's NBA player props ⏬
PLAYER: Jrue Holiday
BET: 🔥 OVER 18.5 points with Unibet (-104)
We get a possible preview of the Eastern Conference finals today with the Bucks and Nets clashing in Milwaukee and if the form lines are anything to go by, there are going to be A LOT of points scored in this one.
We're focusing on Jrue Holiday whose points prop line is set at 18.5 compared with our projections of 20. Despite a stacked offensive unit, Holiday still manages to get around 14-15 shots off per game. A good shooting performance will be enough to see this one cash
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MORE: Nets @ Bucks predictions
PLAYER: Jayson Tatum
BET: 🔥 OVER 28.5 points with FanDuel Sportsbook (-105)
Continue to ride the man with the hot hand! It's impossible not to include Jayson Tatum coming off a 60-point night against the Spurs on Friday, especially against Portland who concede more points per game than just about any other team in the league. This game should be tight as well, so expect Boston to defer to Tatum at any and every opportunity.
PLAYER: Jimmy Butler
BET: 🔥 OVER 20.5 points with PointsBet (-116)
You never quite know what you're going to get with Jimmy Butler - will he take shots or will he facilitate? On this occasion, our data projections think this one might be a game where Jimmy Buckets takes more of a dominant role on the offensive end. If he can get off more than 15 shots, this one will be all over.
PLAYER: Julius Randle
BET: 🔥 OVER 26.5 points BetMGM (-110)
The Houston Rockets have a funny knack lately of just hanging around teams. They may not always win, but they seem to at least give teams some trouble. That works in our advantage because that should mean a lot of minutes of court time for Julius Randle who we are projecting to get 27 points on his way to going over his points prop total.
🔥 Holiday o18.5 points
🔥 Tatum o28.5 points
🔥 Butler o20.5 points
🔥 Randle o26.5 points
💰 Parlay with FanDuel Sportsbook (+1221)