The props have never been hotter! After our best ever week of free website-posted plays, we're back to find the best value in the NBA player props markets for the Dimers Community.
So how do our player prop picks work exactly?
Well, our predictive analytics model has crunched the numbers ahead of tonight's games, giving us the likely stats projections which we've matched up against the sportsbook lines to find the biggest differential and edge for you to make a play on. While this article contains the best edges that we've found against the books, you can run this exercise yourself by looking in the Pre-Game Predictions tab of the game of your choice in the NBA Bet Hub.
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It's Monday, April 12 and here is what the data is telling us for tonight's NBA player props ⏬
PLAYER: RJ Barrett
BET:🔥 OVER 18.5 points with William Hill Sportsbook (+100)
RJ Barrett looks like he's finally starting to become the player the New York Knicks had hoped he would be when they took him at pick 3. His points total (and the + odds on offer) for tonight is a curious one considering a couple of factors:
👉 He's playing a Lakers team without star power
👉 He's averaging 22.5 points per game over his last four games
We've got Barrett hitting 19, but given current form, and the opponent, don't be surprised if it's more.
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PLAYER: Jonas Valanciunas
BET:🔥 UNDER 33.5 points+rebounds with FanDuel Sportsbook (-106)
Jonas ate out last night, going for 34 points and 22 rebounds against the Pacers, so naturally his line is set quite high by the sportsbooks as the Grizzlies take on the Bulls, but we're expecting a crashing thud back down to earth for Valanciunas, coming up against Nikola Vucevic. Vooch will not be giving up 12 offensive rebounds - that's for sure.
PLAYER: Richaun Holmes
BET:🔥 OVER 24.5 points+rebounds with PointsBet (-113)
A game involving the Pelicans where we haven't taken Zion Williamson in our daily props picks? Yes, unfortunately at the time of publishing the 'books had not released a line for Zion, so we've locked in on Kings C, Richaun Holmes.
Holmes is on a tear for Sacramento at the moment, pulling in 10 rebounds to add to 25 points against Rudy Gobert of all people on Saturday night. The Illinois native has regularly notched double-digit rebounds this season. We've got him projected for 16 and 10 in this one.
PLAYER: Kevin Porter Jr
BET:🔥 OVER 4.5 assists with FanDuel Sportsbook (+116)
You might have never heard of Kevin Porter Jr before, but after tonight he might be a name you remember for a while. The former Cavaliers man who found himself in Houston due to some issues in Cleveland, is thriving in his new surrounds and the sportsbooks appear to have missed something here when capping his assist line.
Porter Jr is averaging 6.5 assists per game over his last eight, including an 8 assist tally against these very Suns only a week ago (John Wall was not playing in that game, however). We've got him projected for 6, well over his 4.5 line which is returning a BIG pay day.
🔥 Barrett o18.5 points
🔥 Valanciunas u33.5 pts+reb
🔥 Holmes o24.5 pts+reb
🔥 Porter Jr o4.5 assists
💰 Parlay with FanDuel Sportsbook (+1483)