It's Friday night in the Association. It's time to let your hair down and bet your night away with our NBA player props!
So how do our player prop picks work exactly?
Well, our predictive analytics model has crunched the numbers ahead of tonight's games, giving us the likely stats projections which we've matched up against the sportsbook lines to find the biggest differential and edge for you to make a play on. While this article contains the best edges that we've found against the books, you can run this exercise yourself by looking in the Pre-Game Predictions tab of the game of your choice in the NBA Bet Hub.
With NBA betting picks, probabilities, odds and predicted scores featured each and every day, check out our top NBA player prop picks for tonight's games.
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It's Friday, May 7. Here is what the data is telling us for tonight's NBA player props ⏬
PLAYER: Joel Embiid
BET: 🔥 OVER 29.5 points (-106)
It's an enticing cross-conference match up as Embiid and Zion slug it out like Ali and Frazier!
While we usually love including the Prop King when we can, we're selecting Embiid to go over his points prop total tonight instead, with our projections putting the Sixers big man on 31 points. When a big ego like Joel's comes up against a young up and coming star of the league, we are rarely disappointed by what happens.
6 years later, still living rent free in their heads.... YES I WOKE UP AND CHOSE VIOLENCE— Joel “Troel” Embiid (@JoelEmbiid) January 10, 2021
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PLAYER: Marcus Smart
BET: 🔥 UNDER 13.5 points with FanDuel Sportsbook (-116)
Our projections for tonight's game has Smart as the fourth-rated scorer on this Celtics offense behind the likes of Tatum, Fournier and Kemba Walker. In a game against a superior team where the blowout factor is legitimate, Smart will struggle to make an impact on the scoreboard in this one.
PLAYER: Facundo Campazzo
BET: 🔥 OVER 9.5 points with PointsBet (-102)
I know exactly what you're thinking right now. You're thinking: Who dat?
Ok, so it's time to talk about Facundo Campazzo. He is PG for the Denver Nuggets who has come over from Real Madrid in the Euroleague and lately he's kinda killing it. In four of his last five games he's scored 10 points or more in a clear indication that he has found a meaningful role in Denver's reshuffled offense since Jamal Murray's injury. Don't sleep on Facundo!
PLAYER: Mikal Bridges
BET: 🔥 UNDER 3.5 rebounds BetMGM (+118)
We're not leaving a lot of room for error on this one, but when DimersBOT projects something that translate to these kind of odds, we have to take a risk.
Our projections have Bridges getting only three rebounds total vs. the Knicks. In his last 10 games, he has only had 4 or more rebounds in three of them. The probabilities support the logic that +118 odds are just far too good to pass up.
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🔥 Embiid o29.5 points
🔥 Smart u13.5 points
🔥 Campazzo o9.5 points
🔥 Bridges u3.5 rebounds
💰 Parlay with FanDuel Sportsbook (+1462)