After a small four-game slate last night, the basketball is looking HOT tonight and so are our free picks for tonight's NBA slate.
It's Friday April 16, and, as always, we've simulated all of tonight's games 10,000 times each determining where the value lies for bettors across the United States.
With NBA betting picks, probabilities, odds and predicted scores featured each and every day, check out our top plays for tonight's games.
Your game not here? Find out who we're betting on in every game via our NBA Bet Hub where we deliver you predictions and suggested bets, based on the edge we've identified against the sportsbooks' odds.
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Here is what the data is telling us for tonight's NBA games ⏬
BET: 🔥 Total points UNDER 235 (-105) with William Hill Sportsbook
📈 51.7% probability
The Jazz are sitting atop the West and should be too good for the Pacers here. But in saying that, we're taking on the total points and playing the UNDER.
235 is a reasonably high total and if our modelling is anything to go by (it is!) then this game should fall short of the mark being set.
The Knicks have also been playing pretty well, so for a play like this, it's hard to look past this offer from William Hill Sportsbook who are giving new customers in certain states a RISK-FREE bet up to $2021 - see if your state is one of them here. Basically, you can deposit as much or as little as you like (we recommend around $50) and then place your bet on our play. If we get it right, you cash in! If not, that's okay - they'll give you your money back to use again on another bet.
BET: 🔥 Total points UNDER 242.5 with PointsBet (-110)
📈 55.1% probability
A massive points total has been set for this one and you can see why, when there's guys like Zion, BI and Brad Beal on the court.
But even with that offensive talent on the court, this line looks too high, with our predictive analytics model giving the UNDER a 55.1% chance of rewarding bettors.
But more than just that, when PointsBet is offering free bets like they are in the offer below, why wouldn't you take advantage!?
BET: 🔥 Blazers at the moneyline with BetMGM (-120)
📈 57.0% probability
The Portland Trail Blazers travel Texas tonight to face the San Antonio Spurs and our model has the favorites presenting the best value at the moneyline.
Dame and Co. are coming off two losses and four in their last five and will need to turn it around quick smart with a win over the Spurs here.
🔥 Pacers/Jazz u235
🔥 Wiz/Pels u242.5
🔥 Blazers ML
💰 Parlay with FanDuel Sportsbook (+558)
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