Best MLB Betting Picks, Predictions and Parlays: Friday September 17, 2021
Last updated: | Published:Teams are beginning to posture and confirm their place in the MLB postseason as the regular season heats up. We are back with our best baseball bets for Friday.
It's Friday September 17, 2021, and, as always, we've simulated all of the day's MLB games 10,000 times each to determine where the value lies for baseball bettors across the United States.
With MLB betting picks, probabilities, odds and predicted scores featured each and every day, check out our top plays for Friday's MLB games by reading this article.
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Free MLB Picks For Friday September 17, 2021
Phillies vs. Mets
BET: Total runs OVER 7.5 with Caesars (-105)
📈 53% probability
The patchy form of Taijuan Walker post-All Star continues with the Mets ace unable to achieve a starting win in more than two months. With an ERA of 7.16 over his last three starts, a perfect storm of runs could be brewing with the Phillies coming off a huge Thursday night where they put 17 runs on the Cubs. Zach Wheeler will be on the mound for Philadelphia, but there looks to be more than enough potential for the Over to hit here.
MORE: Phillies vs. Mets simulator
Dodgers vs. Reds
BET: Dodgers at the run line with Caesars (-105)
📈 3.3% edge on the sportsbooks' odds
Luis Castillo is a man we fade pretty often here at Dimers and we're back at it again as the Reds’ pitcher takes on one of the toughest assignments in baseball in trying to keep the LA Dodger offense in check. Castillo is 0-3 in his last three starts and with LA looking to tune up before playoffs, this could be a dominant game from the men in blue.
MORE: Dodgers vs. Reds simulator
Pirates vs. Marlins
BET: Total runs OVER 8 with Caesars (-105)
📈 1.7% edge on the sportsbooks' odds
We want all of the runs in this one. Wil Crowe and Elieser Hernandez will be starting for the Pirates and Marlins as they open up their weekend series in Florida. Both pitchers have been giving up runs and hits - particularly in their last three games. With Pittsburgh ranking third-worst in the league for run defense, we're expecting this one to open up.
MORE: Pirates vs. Marlins simulator
Your game not here? Find out who we're betting on for every baseball game on Friday via our MLB Bet Hub, where we deliver you MLB predictions and suggested bets.
MLB Parlay For Friday, September 17, 2021
🔥 Phillies/Mets o7.5 runs
🔥 Dodgers -1.5
🔥 Pirates/Marlins o8 runs
Parlay Odds +644
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