Best MLB Betting Picks and Parlays: Thursday May 6, 2021

Another winning day for the Dimers fam yesterday in MLB has us feeling very good about our chances to go big on Thursday.

It's Thursday May 6, and, as always, we've simulated all of tonight's games 10,000 times each determining where the value lies for baseball bettors across the United States.

With MLB betting picks, probabilities, odds and predicted scores featured each and every day, check out our top plays for tonight's games.

Your game not here? Find out who we're betting on in every game via our MLB Bet Hub where we deliver you predictions and suggested bets, based on the edge we've identified against the sportsbooks' odds.

Just want picks? Sure thing. Visit our Quick Picks section and get the lowdown on the best bets for all pro and college sports.

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Here is what the data is telling us for today's MLB games ⏬

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Astros @ Yankees

BET: 🔥 Total runs OVER 7.5 with Unibet (-106)

📈 51.6% probability 

Oh yeah, that's right - we're taking the Over in this one even though Gerrit Cole is pitching for the Yankees!

Cole has been on fire for the Yanks so far this season with an ERA of 1.48, but we're not concerned with how many the Astros will score; they'll still manage to eek out 1 or 2. Instead, DimersBOT is liking this play because of how well New York have been scoring during this series with 6 and 7 runs from the first two games. Forget Cole and lean into the Over!

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MORE: Astros @ Yankees predictions

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Blue Jays @ Athletics

BET: 🔥 Total runs OVER 8 (-111) with William Hill Sportsbook

📈 57.3% probability

It's the fourth game in this series in Oakland today and our data projections has the run total mirroring two of the three games that have gone Over thus far. Both starting pitchers (Robbie Ray and Mike Fiers) have been pretty good on the mound from a runs allowed perspective, but they are allowing enough hits per nine innings to make Under bettors nervous. We've been following this trend a lot recently in our daily picks which is a strategy that has worked for us.

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MORE: Blue Jays @ Athletics predictions

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Braves @ Nationals

 

BET: 🔥Braves at the moneyline with BetMGM (-102)

📈 7.2% edge on the sportsbook's odds

Very rarely do you get the Braves at some nice odds like this, so you can excuse DimersBOT for getting so excited that we had to pour coolant into his radiator today to prevent him from blowing a gasket! Both starting pitchers aren't exactly defensive powerhouses, but the we're on the Braves to outslug the Nats.

MORE: Braves @ Nationals predictions

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MLB Thursday Parlay

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🔥 Astros/Yankees o7.5 runs
🔥 Blue Jays/Athletics o8 runs
🔥 Braves ML

💰 Parlay with UniBet (+600)

MORE PICKS:

 READ: THURSDAY NBA PICKS
 READ: THURSDAY NBA PROPS
🏒 READ: THURSDAY NHL PICKS
💰 READ: THURSDAY'S PERFECT PARLAYS

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