Best MLB Betting Picks and Parlays: Thursday April 15, 2021

It was a crazy day of MLB action on Wednesday with underdogs winning everywhere. As Thursday descends upon us, we try to find the best ways for you to cash in.

It's Thursday April 15, and, as always, we've simulated all of tonight's games 10,000 times each determining where the value lies for baseball bettors across the United States.

With MLB betting picks, probabilities, odds and predicted scores featured each and every day, check out our top plays for tonight's games.

Your game not here? Find out who we're betting on in every game via our MLB Bet Hub where we deliver you predictions and suggested bets, based on the edge we've identified against the sportsbooks' odds.

Just want picks? Sure thing. Visit our Quick Picks section and get the lowdown on the best bets for all pro and college sports.

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Here is what the data is telling us for today's MLB games ⏬

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Padres @ Pirates

BET: 🔥Total runs OVER 7.5 with FanDuel Sportsbook (-120)

📈 57.0% probability 

An amazing series between SD and Pittsburgh comes to an end, but not before a barrage of firepower from both teams, according to our projections. 

The Pirates have proven they've been able to match it with the Padres when it comes to putting up runs and are on a 2-game winning streak over the past two nights. If they can keep that up we know the Padres will make up for a limp night last night and this game is going easily over.

Psst, if you sign up to FanDuel Sportsbook now, your first bet will be risk-free up to $1,000, meaning if you lose, you get a second chance via bonus bets in your account!

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MORE: Padres @ Pirates predictions

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Red Sox @ Twins

BET: 🔥 Red Sox at the moneyline (+143) with William Hill Sportsbook

📈 5.3% edge on the sportsbook's odds

Yesterday was DOG CITY in the MLB with 12 teams at + odds winning their games at the moneyline. When going over the docket for Thursday's action, our data has the Red Sox as a dog most likely to keep it rolling. Boston have won 8 in a row, three of those against Minnesota in the past two days.

The starting pitcher match up is heavily in the Twins' favor, but given the form lines and the odds on offer, it would be crazy not to make a small wager on this. ESPECIALLY with the sportsbook offer below.

For a play like this, it's hard to look past this offer from William Hill Sportsbook who are giving new customers in certain states a RISK-FREE bet up to $2021 - see if your state is one of them here. Basically, you can deposit as much or as little as you like (we recommend around $50) and then place your bet on our play. If we get it right, you cash in! If not, that's okay - they'll give you your money back to use again on another bet.

MORE: Red Sox @ Twins predictions

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Diamondbacks @ Nationals

 

BET: 🔥 Arizona Diamondbacks at the run line with BetMGM (-132)

📈 58.4% probability

A run line with some pretty nice odds, we're taking the advantage with Arizona against Washington. Both teams are sub .500 by a considerable margin. Our projections sees this as a genuinely even match up that could go either way which makes the +1.5 run line the smart option.

MORE: Diamondbacks @ Nationals predictions

Sign up to BetMGM here to cash in on the below offer!

MLB Thursday Parlay

🔥 Padres/Pirates o7.5 runs
🔥 Red Sox ML
🔥 D-Backs +1.5

💰 Parlay @ FanDuel Sportsbook (+684)

 

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