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Best MLB Betting Picks and Parlays: Friday May 7, 2021

Best MLB Betting Picks and Parlays: Friday May 7, 2021

We're seriously losing track of the MLB clean sweeps we're giving you in our daily baseball picks. Another one yesterday and we are riding high as we head into Friday. Let's find some winners.


It's Friday May 7, and, as always, we've simulated all of tonight's games 10,000 times each determining where the value lies for baseball bettors across the United States.

With MLB betting picks, probabilities, odds and predicted scores featured each and every day, check out our top plays for tonight's games.

Your game not here? Find out who we're betting on in every game via our MLB Bet Hub where we deliver you predictions and suggested bets, based on the edge we've identified against the sportsbooks' odds.

Just want picks? Sure thing. Visit our Quick Picks section and get the lowdown on the best bets for all pro and college sports.

Almost ready to join a sportsbook and start betting online?

We’ve listed the best available sign-up bonus offers for each legal betting state at the bottom of this article!

Here is what the data is telling us for today's MLB games ⏬


 

Reds @ Indians


BET: 🔥
Total runs OVER 8 with Unibet (-115)

📈 56.1% probability 

There's a few boxes being ticked when we look at this game and the run total line when comparing it to the little formula we have concocted here at Dimers. Firstly, starting Indians' pitcher, Zach Plesac, has an ERA of 4.78 and is giving up 8.72 hits per nine inning. And although the starting pitcher for the Reds, Wade Miley, has a much better ERA at 2.67, games he has featured in this season are 3-2 on the Over/Under. If Cleveland can put early inning pressure on Miley, this game is going to open right up once the bullpens come out as we look to build on how many runs Cincinnati can put on Plesac. This will be intriguing. 

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MORE: Reds @ Indians predictions


 

Mariners @ Rangers

 

BET: 🔥 Total runs UNDER 9 (-119) with William Hill Sportsbook

📈 56.2% probability

DimersBOT doesn't give out an Under play with such a high degree of confidence too often, but we'll sure as heck listen when it does. Given the Under is 4-0 in the Mariners' last four games, it's quite surprising to see the run total set at 9 by the 'books. That's not even mentioning starting Texas pitcher, Mike Foltynewicz. He's featured in six games this season, five of which have gone Under. Lock. Them. Up.

For a play like this, it's hard to look past this offer from William Hill Sportsbook who are giving new customers in certain states a RISK-FREE bet up to $500 - see if your state is one of them here. Basically, you can deposit as much or as little as you like (we recommend around $50) and then place your bet on our play. If we get it right, you cash in! If not, that's okay - they'll give you your money back to use again on another bet.

MORE: Mariners @ Rangers predictions


 

Padres @ Giants

 

BET: 🔥 Total runs OVER 7 with BetMGM (-110)

📈 55% probability 

We talk about pitchers a lot in our daily picks articles, and if you're a newcomer to MLB betting wondering why, it's because it's so damn important to look at when determining plays. 

Blake Snell and Anthony DeSclafani faced off against each other exactly a week ago when the Padres and Giants met in San Diego, with the game ending 6-2 in the Padres favor. To have that kind of form lines with these same pitchers only a week ago is an extremely valuable piece of information. We're doubling down on the Over prevailing once again in Round 2.

MORE: Padres @ Giants predictions

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MLB Friday Parlay


Want to parlay our MLB picks? Do it with UnibetWhy? Because Unibet offer you a free bet bonus upon sign up without even having to deposit cash! No other 'books allow you to bet with free money before depositing, so use this completely free hit while you can. Virginia residents get a $100 free hit, while other states still receive $20.

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🔥 Reds/Indians o8 runs
🔥 Mariners/Rangers u9 runs
🔥 Padres/Giants o7 runs

💰 Parlay with UniBet (+564)

 

MORE PICKS:

:basketball: READ: FRIDAY NBA PICKS
:basketball: READ: FRIDAY NBA PROPS
🏒 READ: FRIDAY NHL PICKS
💰 READ: FRIDAY'S PERFECT PARLAY

Ready to join a Sportsbook and start betting online? We’ve listed the best available Welcome Offers for each legal betting state.

The best offers in your state👇

Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua grew up addicted to sports, and betting on them. Whether it's horse racing, football, basketball, baseball, or two flies on the wall  if there's at least two combatants going toe to toe, he will have some action on it. Jason has been with Dimers since its inception in 2020 as its Head of Social and Community, pinch hitting in the editorial department with daily written articles. He feels strongest betting on basketball and baseball, and whatever else DimersBOT tells him to.

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