Best MLB Betting Picks and Parlays: Friday April 30, 2021


April 30, 2021 10:09 AM

Get those brooms out! We went a perfect 3-0 in our MLB plays on Thursday and we are back again to see if we can continue the run on Friday.


It's Friday April 30, and, as always, we've simulated all of tonight's games 10,000 times each determining where the value lies for baseball bettors across the United States.

With MLB betting picks, probabilities, odds and predicted scores featured each and every day, check out our top plays for tonight's games.

Your game not here? Find out who we're betting on in every game via our MLB Bet Hub where we deliver you predictions and suggested bets, based on the edge we've identified against the sportsbooks' odds.

Just want picks? Sure thing. Visit our Quick Picks section and get the lowdown on the best bets for all pro and college sports.

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Here is what the data is telling us for today's MLB games ⏬


Mets @ Phillies

BET: πŸ”₯
Total runs OVER 8.5 with Unibet (-102)

πŸ“ˆ 54.1% probability 

The Mets have been on a long run of low scoring games with the Under prevailing in five of their last six with the one game not going Under being a Push. The thing about low scoring streaks is that those streaks are bound to be broken, and today's game against the Phillies is the perfect opportunity.

Philadelphia pitcher Chase Anderson has been costly so far this season with an ERA of 6.48 and a 0-3 record when being listed as the SP. If the form lines are consistent with Anderson, look for the Mets to pile on the runs.

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MORE: Mets @ Phillies predictions


Orioles @ Athletics


BET: πŸ”₯ Total runs OVER 8 (-104) with William Hill Sportsbook

πŸ“ˆ 55.4% probability

While both these teams are coming off series that were low scoring, when the A's and O's met for a three game tussle last week, two of those games yielded 9 runs. Our data is once again projecting these styles to mesh well for Over bettors.

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MORE: Orioles @ Athletics predictions


Angels @ Mariners


BET: πŸ”₯Total runs OVER 7.5 with BetMGM (-115)

πŸ“ˆ 57.3% probability 

Another Over play to complete our Friday set - our data is projecting a pretty high degree of confidence that there will be lots of runs between the Angels and Mariners. The Angels still rank dead last in the league for run defense, and as of late they've also been scoring at a high clip, averaging 5.6 runs over their past three games. This one looks like a safe bet.

MORE: Angels @ Mariners predictions

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MLB Friday Parlay

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πŸ”₯ Mets/Phillies o8.5 runs
πŸ”₯ Orioles/Athletics o8 runs
πŸ”₯ Angels/Mariners o7.5 runs

πŸ’° Parlay with UniBet (+622)




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