Best bets today for all sports: MLK Day picks include Pedro Martinez vs. Novak Djokovic tennis play [1/19/2026]

Tennis: Novak Djokovic vs. Pedro Martinez under 30.5 total games (-130)

• Edge: 10.4%
• Probability: 66.9%
• Tennis matchup: Pedro Martinez vs. Novak Djokovic (4:10AM ET, Monday)

Our model has identified value on under 30.5 total games in Novak Djokovic vs. Pedro Martinez at -130 odds in their matchup at 2026 Australian Open. A 66.9% probability produces an edge of 10.4%, making this the strongest play for today's sports action.

Tennis: Taylor Fritz vs. Valentin Royer under 36.5 total games (-130)

• Edge: 9.6%
• Probability: 66.2%
• Tennis matchup: Valentin Royer vs. Taylor Fritz (1:00AM ET, Tuesday)

Also at 2026 Australian Open, Valentin Royer vs. Taylor Fritz under 36.5 total games carries a 9.6% edge and a probability of 66.2% at -130 odds, according to our model.

Tennis: Taylor Fritz -6.5 (-106)

• Edge: 8.8%
• Probability: 60.3%
• Tennis Matchup: Valentin Royer vs. Taylor Fritz (1:00AM ET, Tuesday)

Taylor Fritz -6.5 vs. Valentin Royer at -106 odds shows a 8.8% edge, supported by a 60.3% probability in simulations of the 2026 Australian Open match.

Tennis: Sebastian Baez vs. Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard under 42.5 total games (-125)

• Edge: 7.7%
• Probability: 63.3%
• Tennis Matchup: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs. Sebastian Baez (8:30PM ET, Monday)

A 7.7% edge and 63.3% probability make Sebastian Baez vs. Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard under 42.5 total games at a value play in the Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs. Sebastian Baez matchup, per our model.

Tennis: Raphael Collignon vs. Lorenzo Musetti under 37.5 total points (-125)

• Edge: 7.3%
• Probability: 62.8%
• Tennis Matchup: Lorenzo Musetti vs. Raphael Collignon (7:30PM ET, Monday)

Raphael Collignon vs. Lorenzo Musetti under 37.5 total points at -125 odds presents a 7.3% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 62.8%.

Men's College Basketball: Iona vs. St. Peter's under 142.5 points (-105)

• Edge: 7.2%
• Probability: 58.4%
• Men's College Basketball Matchup: Iona vs. St. Peter's (2:00PM ET, Monday)

Our model finds value on under 142.5 points in Iona vs. St. Peter's at -105 odds, supported by an edge of 7.2%.

Tennis: Lorenzo Musetti -5.5 (-126)

• Edge: 6.8%
• Probability: 62.5%
• Tennis Matchup: Lorenzo Musetti vs. Raphael Collignon (7:30PM ET, Monday)

Our model has uncovered value on Lorenzo Musetti -5.5 at -126 odds. A 62.5% probability produces a 6.8% edge, making this a strong play for today's tennis action.

College Football: Miami Florida +7.5 (-105)

• Edge: 6.7%
• Probability: 57.9%
• College Football Matchup: Miami Florida vs. Indiana (7:30PM ET, Monday)

A 6.7% edge on a 57.9% probability makes Miami Florida +7.5 at -105 odds a solid value play in today's Miami Florida vs. Indiana matchup.

Men's College Football: Miami Florida ML (+260)

• Edge: 6.5%
• Probability: 34.3%
• Men's College Football Matchup: Miami Florida vs. Indiana (7:30PM ET, Monday)

Our model projects value on Miami Florida to win at +260 odds. A 34.3% probability produces a 6.5% edge, making Miami Florida the favorable ML play in Saturday’s men's college football matchup.

College Football: Miami Florida vs. Indiana under 47.5 points (-108)

• Edge: 5.9%
• Probability: 57.8%
• College Football Matchup: Raphael Collignon vs. Lorenzo Musetti (7:30PM ET, Monday)

Rounding out our top 10 bets, Miami Florida vs. Indiana under 47.5 points at -108 odds shows a 57.8% probability and a 5.9% edge.

Best sports bets today summary: Monday, 1/19/2026

As of 1:39AM ET, here are our top bets by edge recommended by our model:

Matchup	Bet	Odds	Edge	Probability
Martinez vs. Djokovic (Tennis)	Under 30.5 Total Games	-130 @ DraftKings	10.4%	66.9%
Royer vs. Fritz (Tennis)	Under 36.5 Total Games	-130 @ DraftKings	9.6%	66.2%
Royer vs. Fritz (Tennis)	Taylor Fritz -6.5	-106 @ FanDuel	8.8%	60.3%
Perricard vs. Baez (Tennis)	Under 42.5 Total Games	-125 @ DraftKings	7.7%	63.3%
Musetti vs. Collignon (Tennis)	Under 37.5 Total Games	-125 @ DraftKings	7.3%	62.8%
Iona vs. St. Peter's (Men's College Basketball)	Under 142.5 Points	-105 @ FanDuel	7.2%	58.4%
Musetti vs. Collignon (Tennis)	Lorenzo Musetti -5.5	-126 @ FanDuel	6.8%	62.5%
Miami Florida vs. Indiana (College Football)	Miami Florida +7.5	-105 @ DraftKings	6.7%	57.9%
Miami Florida vs. Indiana (Men's College Football)	Miami Florida ML	+260 @ BetMGM	6.5%	34.3%
Miami Florida vs. Indiana (College Football)	Under 47.5 Points	-108 @ DraftKings	5.9%	57.8%

List of upcoming events to bet on now [1/19/2026]

• Tennis: Alexandre Muller vs. Alexei Popyrin (2:30AM ET, Monday)
• Tennis: Mirra Andreeva vs. Donna Vekic (3:00AM ET, Monday)
• Tennis: Novak Djokovic vs. Pedro Martinez (4:10AM ET, Monday)
• Tennis: Casper Ruud vs. Mattia Bellucci (4:10AM ET, Monday)
• NCAAM: Northeastern vs. Monmouth (11:00AM ET, Monday)
• NBA: Bucks vs. Hawks (1:00PM ET, Monday)
• NCAAM: Drexel vs. Towson (1:00PM ET, Monday)
• NCAAM: Vermont vs. Albany (1:00PM ET, Monday)
• NHL: Sabres vs. Hurricanes (1:30PM ET, Monday)
• NCAAM: Fairfield vs. Siena (2:00PM ET, Monday)

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Conclusion

Our best bets are locked and loaded for January 19, 2026, featuring plays such as under 30.5 total games in the Pedro Martinez vs. Novak Djokovic matchup and under 36.5 total games in the Valentin Royer vs. Taylor Fritz matchup. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.

This article, enhanced by AI and automation, aims to deliver accurate insights quickly, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.

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