Astros @ Rockies: Predictions, picks and bets

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August 20, 2020 1:39 PM

The Rockies and Astros face for the fourth time this week with Colorado looking to avoid a sweep and pick up their first dub of the week.

The Astros have a whopping 10 players on their list at the time of publishing and the Rockies will see this as their chance to chalk one up in the W column.

Check out our predictions and plays below πŸ‘‡

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Dimers' Suggested Plays

πŸ”₯ BEST: Total runs: Over 11.5 (+105*)
πŸ’΅ Moneyline: Rockies (-130*)
πŸ’ͺ Run line: Astros +1.5 (-170*)

Best bet

Total runs: Over 11.5 (+105*) has a 2.4% edge

Our model has this one finishing up extremely close to the 11.5 being set and think the overs are more likely than the odds suggest. A 2.4% edge to be gained by betting over the total run mark here.

 

Moneyline: Rockies (-130*) has a 53% probability

Our model is giving the Rockies a 53% chance of getting the dub here. They’ve struggled against the Astros this week but should be able to turn their fortunes around today.

Run line: Astros +1.5 (-170*) has a 63% probability

Although our projections have Colorado as the most likely to win, it’s extremely tight which means the best run line play is the Astros to cover.

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Dimers' take-out

This should be a close game with our model expecting runs from both sides. Expect the Astros to cover.

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*Odds and percentages correct at time of publishing.