Alexander Zverev vs. Gabriel Diallo prediction, odds, picks for 2026 Australian Open

Alexander Zverev and Gabriel Diallo will meet in the first round of the 2026 Australian Open on Saturday.

Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced tennis model predicts Alexander Zverev as the most likely winner of the Zverev vs. Diallo match.

This article offers a closer look at Saturday's match, including best bets and picks.

Zverev vs. Diallo prediction: Who will win and advance to the second round?

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Saturday's Zverev-Diallo men's singles match 10,000 times as part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently gives Zverev an 87% chance of beating Diallo in the 2026 Australian Open.

Additionally, Zverev has an 80% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Zverev (-5.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the under 37.5 games has a 67% chance of hitting**, according to our model.

Alexander Zverev vs. Gabriel Diallo odds

We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Zverev vs. Diallo picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below: