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Alexander Zverev vs. Corentin Moutet prediction, odds, picks for ATP Mexico Open 2026
Updated: | First published:
Written by Mac Douglass, Senior Editor
Get Zverev vs Moutet predictions for ATP Mexico Open.
Alexander Zverev will take on Corentin Moutet in the round of 32 at the ATP Acapulco event on Tuesday.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced tennis model projects Alexander Zverev as the most likely winner of the Zverev vs. Moutet match.
This article offers further insights into Tuesday's match, including best bets and picks.
Zverev vs. Moutet prediction: Who will win and advance to the round of 16?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Tuesday's Zverev-Moutet men's singles match 10,000 times as part of our tennis predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently gives Zverev an 80% chance of beating Moutet at the ATP Mexico Open tournament.
Additionally, Zverev has a 76% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Zverev (-4.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the under 21.5 games has a 54% chance of hitting, according to our model.
Alexander Zverev vs. Corentin Moutet odds
We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Zverev | Moutet |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -474 | +400 |
| First Set | -333 | +250 |
| Game Spread | -4.5 (-112) | +4.5 (-118) |
| Total Games | o21.5 (-110) | u21.5 (-120) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Zverev vs. Moutet picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Moutet | +400 |
| First Set | Moutet | -120 |
According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is over 21.5 total games.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Zverev vs. Moutet updates and essential details
The ATP Mexico Open match between Alexander Zverev and Corentin Moutet is scheduled to begin on Tuesday at 8:10 PM ET.
- Who: Alexander Zverev vs. Corentin Moutet
- Date: Tuesday, February 24, 2026
- Approx. Time: 8:10 PM ET/5:10PM PT
- Tournament: ATP Acapulco, Mexico Men's Singles 2026
- Round: Round of 32
All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
We predict Alexander Zverev, with an 80% win probability, will likely beat Corentin Moutet at the ATP Mexico Open tournament.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Zverev vs. Moutet insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Mac Douglass specializes in NFL previews for the NFC South and NFC East, MLB best bets, Formula 1 race previews, and professional tennis insights. Combining predictive simulations and data-driven sports analysis, Mac provides in-depth content to elevate the betting experience for sports fans.
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