NBA Playoffs Clippers vs. Mavericks Game 6: Predictions, picks and bets

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August 30, 2020 2:02 AM

The Clippers are just one win away from progressing through the first round, but they will be made to work for it, just like they have all series.

The Mavs will be without Kristaps Porzingis, who is hobbled with a foot injury, whilst Luka Doncic should suit up despite ankle issues that have plagued him throughout the first round.

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Will the Clippers advance or can the Mavericks push it to a seventh game? Game 6 Bet Hub predictions below 👇

 
Dimers' predictions are based on 10,000 simulations of this particular matchup
 

Dimers' Suggested Plays
🔥BEST:Over/Under: u237.5 (-110*)
💵Money Line: Mavericks (+410*)
📈Spread: Mavericks +10.5 (-110*)
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BEST: Over/Under
Under 238.5 (-110*) has a 54% probability

We're expecting a tighter and tougher game this time around due to so much being at stake. This is the first potential elimination game of the season, which means both teams should be fired up and ready to lift their defensive intensity.

Our data suggests there is a 53 percent chance of this game going under 237.5 total points, making it the clear choice in the Over/Under market.

Money Line
Mavericks H2H (+410*) has a 3.5% edge vs. the sportsbooks

Obviously, after Game Five, the Clippers enter this game as heavy favorites. However, the value at the Money Line is actually with the Mavericks, who at the time of publishing are +410.

We've seen that Dallas is capable of beating Los Angeles, and they will no doubt be desperate to stay alive in this season's playoffs.

Spread
Mavericks +10.5 (-110*) is a 53% chance to cover

Game Five was ugly for the Mavericks, but it's one that they will need to put behind them if they are to push this series to a Game Seven. 

For most of the series, Dallas have been playing with freedom and no expectation. Aside from Game Five, that mindset has enabled them to challenge the Clippers every step of the way. Expect them to once again be in the hunt in this one. Our projections have rated them as a 53 percent chance to cover and it is our top pick for this game.

Dimers' take-out

This is a high-stakes game and the Mavericks will play desperate and should be able to take it down to the wire in what we expect to be a low-scoring game. If you're keen to tail any of our picks, you can review the best legal online sportsbooks here.