This one is looking TIGHT according to our model, with the Phillies (11-14) taking on the Nationals (11-16).
These two of course met yesterday, with Philadelphia winning 8-3, and they’re favorites again today.
Will the Phillies chalk up their third straight dub or can Washington cause an upset? Bet Hub predictions below 👇
Dimers' predictions are based on 10,000 simulations of this particular matchup
🔥 BEST: Total runs under 8.5
💵 Moneyline: Nationals (+100*)
💪 Run line: Nationals +1.5
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BEST: Total runs under 8.5
Over 9 runs has a 0.9% edge
Our model has this at a 49% chance of staying under but with the plus money being it offered up from the books, it is a MUCH better play than the overs.
Nationals to win has a 50% probability
Similarly to the over/under bet above, our model has pulled out some plus money here, with the underdog Nationals just as likely to win as the -110* Phillies.
Nationals +1.5 has a 0.9% edge
As our projections have us going with the underdogs at the ML, they are also our play at the run line. The 1.5 headstart looks good in this one.
This one should go right down to the wire, with our model predicting a low scoring game, likely to be decided by just the one run. If you're keen to play, you can review the best legal online sportsbooks in your area, here.
*odds are correct at time of publishing