NBA Playoffs Pacers vs. Heat Game 4: Predictions, picks and bets


August 24, 2020 2:32 PM

The Miami Heat will complete a cleansweep with a win in Game 4 against the Indiana Pacers in their Eastern Conference first-round matchup.

It’s been a clinical run so far for Miami against the Pacers who have never really been in it at all in the previous three games. They’ll need to do it again without big man Domantas Sabonis who is still sidelined with a foot injury.

Will the Heat wrap it up or will Indiana extend the series? Game 4 Bet Hub predictions below 👇

Dimers' predictions are based on 10,000 simulations of this particular matchup

Dimers' Suggested Plays
🔥BEST: Heat ML (-245*)
💪Spread: Pacers to cover +6
👆Over/Under: o216.5 Total Points
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BEST: Money Line
Heat H2H has a 71% probability

Miami can close out the series and cleansweep the Pacers here, and that's exactly what our predictive analytics model is suggesting will happen. Miami has been the better of the two teams and deserves it's 3-0 lead heading in to Game 4. Yes, the Money Line odds are short, but given we regard them as a 71% chance to win, the -245 on offer is enticing.

Pacers +6 is a 52% chance to cover

While Miami should have little trouble progressing to the next round, we don't see the Pacers getting blown off the floor, if our 111 : 105 prediction is anything to go by. And with that said, the +6 for Indiana is well worth a play in a game where the Heat need to do nothing more than just secure that W.

o216.5 Points has a 51% probability

We've assessed this contest as landing virtually right on the total points line of 216 (actually 216.8 with rounding), so tread carefully with any Over/Under action you may be considering. But, as we say here at Dimers, "you've gotta trust the data" and that's exactly what we'll do. Take the Over (with caution).

Dimers' take-out

We can see Miami doing whatever is required just to get that win to cleansweep the series. With that in mind, the short odds on offer for it to happen are actually pretty appealing, all things considered. If you're keen to play, you can review the best legal online sportsbooks in your area, here.

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*odds are correct at time of publishing