Predictions and picks for Jazz @ Nuggets

By

August 17, 2020 12:01 PM

A 3 vs. 6 matchup to set the 2020 NBA playoffs into motion, with the Denver Nuggets taking on the Utah Jazz.

The Nuggets (+2500 for the chip) went 3-0 against the Jazz (+5000) throughout the regular season, including 134-132 OT win earlier in the bubble.

Our data suggests they should continue that run, with our projections giving them a massive 65% of getting the opening dub of the series today.

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Dimers' Suggested Plays

Lock: Nuggets moneyline (-198*)
Spread: Nuggets -5.0 (-105*)
Total score: Over 215 (-110*)

Lock
Nuggets moneyline (-198*) has a 65% probability

The Nuggets are the stronger of the teams and with Mike Conley now leaving the bubble to attend the birth of his son, they should be winning this one. Our data gives them an almost two-thirds chance today.

 


Spread: Nuggets -5.0 (-105*) has a 50% probability

Whilst our computer currently has this one at a 50-50 split, the better odds on offer for the Nuggets make them the better play at the spread.

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Total score: Over 215 (-110*) has a 51% probability

A slight edge to the unders here. With Conley and Bogdanovic, a lot of the scoring pressure for the Jazz will be placed on Donovan Mitchell. Under 215 is the play here.

Dimers' take-out

The Nuggets will be looking to get their post-season off to a good start with aspirations of making it to at least the Western Conference finals.

Our picks for the rest of today's NBA slate.

*Odds and percentages correct at time of publishing.