Predictions and bets for Pirates @ Reds

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August 13, 2020 8:19 PM

The Pirates will be looking to make it back-to-back wins in the series when they meet the Reds for the second consecutive time.

The key for Pittsburgh in the opener was a massive second inning, where they piled on seven runs. They did not score again after that but held on for 9-6 win.

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Dimers' Suggested Plays

Lock: Pirates +1.5 (-118*)
Moneyline: Pirates (+174*)
Total runs: Under 8.5 (-112*)

Lock: Pirates +1.5 (-118*) has a 56% probability

Despite winning the opener, the Pirates are still the plus side of the Run Line. Our model has stated they are a 56 percent chance of covering and it looks the top pick of the game.

 

Moneyline: Pirates (+174*) has a 38% probability

According to our projections, the Pirates are only a 38% chance of winning this one, but because they are +174 underdogs, it means they are the smart bet at the Moneyline. Don't be surprised if we get an upset.

Total runs: Under 8.5 (-112*) has a 52% probability

Although we saw somewhat of a run-fest in the opener, we're predicting a tighter and tougher game this time around. In that first game, only eight runs were scored outside the big Pirates' second inning.

Dimers' take-out

The Pirates are the team to bet in this game, whether it be at the Run Line or Moneyline. However, don't expect the flurry of runs we saw in the opening game of the series.

*Odds and percentages correct at time of publishing.

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