The Phillies have started the season with a losing record so far, including back to back defeats at the hands of today’s opponent, the Orioles.
However, our numbers are telling us that this is going to turn around today, with Philadelphia a 65% of getting the dub over Baltimore.
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Dimers' Suggested Plays
Lock: Total runs: Over 9.5 (-104*)
Moneyline: Phillies (-189*)
Run line: Orioles +1.5 (-108*)
Total runs: Over 9.5 (-104*) has a 51% probability
Our data suggests this one is more likely to be over the 9.5 than under and with the slightly better odds on offer, it’s a solid play.
Moneyline: Phillies (-189*) has a 64% probability
The Phillies look good to bounce back from the previous two losses and get the win today. Our projections have them as a massive 64% chance of winning.
Run line: Orioles +1.5 (-108*) has a 54% probability
Baltimore has of course won both games between these two teams already this week and our computer says the smart run line pick here is the dogs to cover.
The Phillies are favorites with the sportsbooks and our data backs that up. They should grab the W here with good value in a same game parlay on the total runs.
*Odds and percentages correct at time of publishing.