Predictions and bets for Nationals @ Mets

By

August 11, 2020 9:10 PM

The Mets will be eager to turn things around, having lost the first two games of their series against the Nationals. 

According to the bookmakers, it should be a tight game, with New York entering as slight favorites.

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Dimers' Suggested Plays

Lock: Mets (-120*)
Run Line: Mets -1.5 (+165*)
Total runs: Over 9.5 (-110*)

Lock
Moneyline: Mets (-120*) has a 56% probability

Despite two consecutive losses, our model has the Mets at a 56 percent chance of winning this game. They are only slight favorites, so present decent value at the Moneyline and are well worth taking,

 

Run Line: Mets -1.5 (+165*) has a 39% probability

Not only do our projections have the Mets winning, they also rate the Mets as the best run line play at +165 at the time of publishing. If they do win, don't be surprised if they do it convincingly.

Total runs: Over 9.5 (-110*) has a 51% probability

The two games of this series couldn't have been more different in regards to runs scored, with 20 recorded in the opener and only three in the second. We're expecting more of what the first game offered, we could be in for a run-fest.

Dimers' take-out

The Mets will be hungry for a win and our model is predicting that they will be too strong. Look for them to claim victory in style in a game that could see plenty of runs.

*Odds and percentages correct at time of publishing.

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