The Sixers and Raptors are probably sitting in opposite spots in the standings to how most pre-season projections would’ve had them, and today’s game reflects those standings with Toronto short favorites.
Philly will possibly be without their two best and most important players in Simmons (out) and Embiid (GTD), which according to our projections really limits their chances of a surprise underdog win.
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Dimers' Suggested Plays
Lock: Raptors moneyline (-265*)
Spread: Sixers +6.5 (-110*)
Total score: Over 221 (-110*)
Lock
Raptors moneyline (-265*) has a 70% probability
The Raps are one of - if not the - most professional teams in basketball and our model can not see them dropping this one to an inconsistent and banged up Sixers team.
Spread: Sixers +6.5 (-110*) has a 52% probability
With Joel Embiid still a chance of playing at time of publishing, our projections have them doing enough to cover the spread.
Total score: Over 221 (-110*) has a 51% probability
The score being set by the sportsbooks looks to be right on in this one, with our data slightly leaning towards the over as the more likely.
Dimers' take-out
Toronto is an extremely well-drilled team, and with Philadelphia missing a key cog in Ben Simmons, they should get the win.
*Odds and percentages correct at time of publishing.
