NFL 2021 Green Bay Packers vs. Chicago Bears: Predictions, picks and bets


January 3, 2021 1:08 AM

‍‍‍‍‍‍NFL Predictions from 10,000 simulations

The postseason equation in Week 17 is easy for the Chicago Bears; win and they're in. The only thing standing in their way is the best team in the NFC - the Green Bay Packers.

Despite the gulf in quality between the two teams, the fact that the Bears have something to play for makes this a closer game in the sportsbooks' eyes at the line. For more detail on this game, check out our NFL Bet Hub.

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💪 Spread

Both teams are above .500 ATS so far this season, but that all means nothing when we're heading into the final week of the year. As mentioned above, the 4.5-point handicap set here by the sportsbooks implies that the Bears may lift with a spot in the playoffs on the line. Let's not forget though, Aaron Rodgers has a chance to solidify his MVP argument with a dominant performance in Week 17. Our predictive data has the superior Packers covering easily.

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🚀 Over/Under

When the Bears are underdogs, they aren't usually high scoring games, with the under prevailing in five of their past six as dogs. With a playoff-like intensity, points could come few and far between.


💵 Moneyline

We're not buying into the Bears hype this week. The Packers are still the better team and they represent some value. Take advantage of the 'books here.

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🏈 Dimers' take-out

It's worth checking out the prop markets here as well - Aaron Jones has been on fire for the Packers this season, so an Anytime TD bet could also be a nice parlay booster this weekend. 

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